AKZ222-202000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130520T2000Z/
/00000.N.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MIDDLE TANANA VALLEY AK-
522 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 PM AKDT MONDAY FOR THE CHENA 
RIVER BETWEEN THE NORDALE ROAD BRIDGE TO FORT WAINWRIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR ICE JAM FLOODING THE CHENA RIVER BETWEEN THE    
NORDALE ROAD BRIDGE TO FORT WAINWRIGHT

* UNTIL 1200 PM AKDT MONDAY

* AN ICE JAM ALONG THIS PORTION OF THE CHENA RIVER IS CAUSING WATER  
TO BACK UP INTO SEVERAL YARDS AND PROPERTIES...PRODUCING MINOR     
FLOODING.

* SECTIONS OF THE RIVER IN THIS AREA MAY ALSO BE SUBJECT TO MINOR    
FLOODING THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO ICE JAMS FORMING AND RELEASING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 6484 14756 6485 14744 6484 14744 6483 14757

AKZ220-210200-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130521T0200Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS AK-
458 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM AKDT MONDAY FOR 
THE YUKON RIVER AT CIRCLE...

AS OF 300 PM...FLOODING IS CONTINUING AT CIRCLE ON THE YUKON RIVER 
BUT THE WATER HAS RECEDED SIGNIFICANTLY. MAJOR FLOODING DID OCCUR 
EARLIER TODAY AND THE FLOODING WAS WORSE THAN THE FLOODING THAT 
OCCURRED IN MAY 2009. ALL THE HOMES AND MOST STRUCTURES IN CIRCLE 
WERE FLOODED.

WATER IS STILL INUNDATING SOME PORTIONS OF THE VILLAGE BUT THE WORST 
FLOODING APPEARS TO HAVE ENDED. WATER IS CROSSING THE ROAD NEAR 
THE POST OFFICE AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE STILL EXPERIENCING FLOODING. 
THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL 
HOURS.

THIS FLOODING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE THAT 
MOVED THROUGH EAGLE ON FRIDAY MAY 17. THE RIVER WATCH TEAM AND THE 
STATE OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE ICE CONDITIONS AND 
FLOODING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. WATER 
LEVELS CAN FLUCTUATE RAPIDLY AND PEOPLE ALONG THE RIVER ARE 
ENCOURAGED TO MOVE PROPERTY TO HIGHER GROUND AWAY FROM THE RIVER 
BANK.

LAT...LON 6595 14390 6569 14382 6565 14418 6594 14420

AKZ220-210000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.130520T0200Z-130523T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
INCLUDING...FORT YUKON...VENETIE...CENTRAL...CIRCLE...
STEVENS VILLAGE...BEAVER...CHALKYITSIK...BIRCH CREEK...
CIRCLE HOT SPRINGS...EAGLE SUMMIT...TWELVEMILE SUMMIT
439 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE YUKON RIVER FROM BEAVER TO RAMPART...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE YUKON RIVER FROM BEAVER TO RAMPART

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* THE BREAKUP FRONT ON THE UPPER YUKON RIVER WAS LOCATED BETWEEN
CIRCLE AND FORT YUKON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BREAKUP FRONT CAUSED MAJOR FLOODING IN
CIRCLE SUNDAY. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH FORT YUKON SOME TIME
BETWEEN SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY MORNING BEFORE CONTINUING
DOWNRIVER TO BEAVER...STEVENS VILLAGE...AND RAMPART.

* THE RIVER WATCH TEAM HAS DETERMINED THAT THE ICE FROM FORT YUKON
TO STEVENS VILLAGE APPEARS TO BE DETERIORATING... ARCHED AND
LIFTING. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BREAKUP
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRAVEL DOWNRIVER STEADILY AND
BECOME MORE SPREAD OUT REDUCING THE AMOUNT THE RIVER WILL RISE.
HOWEVER ANY RESISTANCE TO THE ONCOMING BREAKUP FRONT COULD ALLOW
THE WATER TO AGAIN COLLECT BEHIND AN ICE JAM AND INCREASE THE
FLOOD RISK TO DOWNSTREAM COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

RESIDENTS LIVING DOWNSTREAM OF FORT YUKON SHOULD MONITOR CONDITIONS
AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS EARLY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. WATER LEVELS
CAN RISE VERY QUICKLY WHEN AN ICE JAM OCCURS DOWNSTREAM OF A
COMMUNITY.

&&

AKZ208-200715-
/X.CON.PAFG.WS.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130520T2000Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE
309 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFE
2816
CT UNTIL NOON AKDT
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT MONDAY. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 
ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON
MONDAY. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL
AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. BRIEF FREEZING RAIN
MAY OCCUR AS WELL BUT NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS ONE OR MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER HAZARDS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

AKZ209-200715-
/X.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-130520T2000Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
309 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT MONDAY. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL 6 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 
ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON
MONDAY. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY MAY BE GREATLY REDUCED. TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. BRIEF FREEZING RAIN MAY OCCUR AS
WELL BUT NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT ONE OR MORE WINTER WEATHER
HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

&&

AKZ017-020>022-025-026-200700-
/X.CON.PAJK.FR.Y.0001.130520T0900Z-130520T1500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-GLACIER BAY-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
221 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM AKDT
MONDAY...

COLD AIR MASS WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST AND THE
PANHANDLE. DECREASING CLOUDS OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S IN WIND SHELTERED AND LOW
LYING LOCATIONS DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE TO TAKE PLANTS INDOORS OR TAKE OTHER
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

FROST ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED DURING THE GROWING SEASON SO THAT
SENSITIVE PLANTS CAN BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE BEFORE DAMAGE
OCCURS.

PLANTS SUBJECT TO DAMAGE FROM FROST SHOULD BE GIVEN THE
APPROPRIATE PROTECTION.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

ARZ050-051-059-060-201100-
/O.NEW.KSHV.LW.Y.0025.130520T1500Z-130521T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE
356 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT MONDAY. 

* EVENT...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE EAST AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS WEST AND NORTHWEST
TEXAS ALONG A DRY LINE WILL PRODUCE SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...FROM MID MORNING TO THE EARLY EVENING NEAR 7 PM CDT.

* IMPACT...STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE A ROUGH CHOP AND 
POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

ASZ001>002-200200-
TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA-
300 AM SST SUN MAY 19 2013



...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* SURF...8 TO 10 FEET.

* TIMING...UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
TO PUMMEL SOUTH FACING BEACHES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY INDICATES LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL AFFECT
BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. ALSO...IT IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO
FISH OR OBSERVE WAVES FROM THE SHORELINE DURING HIGH SURF CONDITIONS.
UNWARY BEACH WALKERS CAN BE CAUGHT OFF GUARD AS WAVES SUDDENLY RACE
FARTHER UP THE BEACH THAN NORMAL.

&&

FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA
OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS
300 VAVEAO ASO SA ME 19 2013

...O LOO FAAAUAU PEA FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA...

* GALU...8 I LE 10 FUTU.

* TAIMI...SEIA OO INA FAAITIITIA I LE PO O LE ASO SA.

* NOFOAGA AAFIA...E MALOLOSI GALU MA SIISII PEAU O LE SAMI SEAI OO
I LE AOAULI O LE ASO SA. O LE A AAFIA MATAFAGA I LE ITU I SAUTE
O LE ATUNUU.

FAUTUAGA/TAPENAGA...

O FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA E FAAILOA MAI AI LE MALOLOSI MA LE 
TETELE O GALU O LE A AAFIA AI GATAIFALE MA MATAFAGA...MA O LE A
MALOLOSI AAVE O LE SAMI E ONO SOLO AI NISI O VAEGA O LE MATAFAGA.
ONA O LE SIISII O TULAGA O PEAU O LE SAMI...E FAUTUAINA LE MAMALU
LAUTELE INA IA FAAUTAGIA MAI LENEI FAUTUAGA.

THE AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND FREDERICK
COUNTY VIRGINIA ARE PROVIDED BY THE VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF
ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY.  THE AIR QUALITY FORECAST FOR THE DC
METRO IS PROVIDED BY THE METROPOLITAN WASHINGTON COUNCIL OF
GOVERNMENTS.  AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR MARYLAND ARE PROVIDED
BY THE MARYLAND DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT.

DCZ001-MDZ004-009-013-016>018-VAZ042-052>054-202000-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-MONTGOMERY-PRINCE GEORGES-
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-LOUDOUN-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013



THE FORECAST MONDAY FOR THE DC METRO AREA IS CODE LEVEL
GREEN...WHICH IS GOOD...AND MEANS LITTLE OR NO HEALTH RISK.
PRIMARY POLLUTANT WILL BE PARTICLES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON GROUND-LEVEL OZONE AND FINE
PARTICLES...VISIT WWW.CLEANAIRPARTNERS.NET.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BAKER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA
SOUTHERN CHARLTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
SOUTHWESTERN NASSAU COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT

* AT 914 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TAYLOR...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TAYLOR...MACCLENNY...ST. GEORGE AND BRYCEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3042 8188 3028 8205 3029 8245 3030 8246
3058 8245 3056 8182
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 276DEG 23KT 3048 8230

IAC005-037-043-065-067-089-131-191-MNC045-055-099-109-157-169-
WIC011-200800-
/O.CAN.KARX.TO.A.0180.000000T0000Z-130520T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KARX.TO.A.0187.130520T0120Z-130520T0800Z/



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 187 UNTIL
3 AM CDT MONDAY WHICH REPLACES A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 180.
THE NEW WATCH IS VALID FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN IOWA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA

FLOYD                 MITCHELL              

IN NORTHEAST IOWA

ALLAMAKEE             CHICKASAW             CLAYTON              
FAYETTE               HOWARD                WINNESHIEK           

IN MINNESOTA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA

FILLMORE              HOUSTON               MOWER                
OLMSTED               WABASHA               WINONA               

IN WISCONSIN THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN

BUFFALO               

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...AUSTIN...CALEDONIA...CHARLES CITY...
CRESCO...DECORAH...ELKADER...NEW HAMPTON...OELWEIN...OSAGE...
ROCHESTER...RUSHFORD...WABASHA...WAUKON AND WINONA.

IAC001-003-029-200500-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-130520T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ADAIR IA-ADAMS IA-CASS IA-
809 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CASS...WESTERN
ADAMS AND NORTHWESTERN ADAIR COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT...

AT 808 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. AS 
MUCH AS 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA. 
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WERE AFFECTING THE WARNED AREA...BUT 
RAINFALL RATES ARE LOWER THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED EARLIER.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH  FLOODING INCLUDE...
CORNING...GREENFIELD AND STUART.

THUS FAR NO REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. IF YOU 
NOTICE OR HEAR OF FLASH FLOODING...REPORT IT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE IN DES MOINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS... AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 9493 4115 9494 4116 9501 4151 9475
4150 9425 4090 9478

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...

.PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY...CAPABLE OF BRINGING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN. SOILS OVER
THE WATCH AREA ARE SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS AND A RECORD WET
SPRING SEASON. ANY RAINFALL WILL HAVE TROUBLE SOAKING INTO THE
GROUND AND COULD CAUSE FLOODED BASEMENTS...SEWER BACKUPS...STREET
AND HIGHWAY FLOODING...AND RAPID RISES ON AREA
CREEKS...STREAMS...AND RIVERS.

IAZ008-MNZ079-086-087-094-095-200430-
/O.CON.KARX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130521T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MITCHELL-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
317 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
34d


* PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL IOWA AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA... 
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA... 
MITCHELL. IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...DODGE...FILLMORE...MOWER... 
OLMSTED AND WABASHA. 

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN BY MONDAY
EVENING IS POSSIBLE.

* BASEMENT FLOODING...RAPID RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND ROAD
CLOSURES ARE ALL POSSIBLE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOODING...SHOULD IT OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

KSC205-207-200145-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-130520T0145Z/
WILSON KS-WOODSON KS-
818 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN WOODSON AND
NORTHERN WILSON COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

AT 815 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR BUFFALO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. THIS SUPERCELL HAS A HISTORY OF 
PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS AND ROTATING WALL CLOUDS.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BUFFALO AND ROSE.

LAT...LON 3770 9553 3749 9596 3770 9595 3786 9582
3787 9552 3782 9552
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 233DEG 40KT 3772 9573

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

...WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...

.NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL APPROACH ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY
TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE
TURTLE MOUNTAINS...AND HIGHER WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE
VICINITY OF RAIN SHOWERS. A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH
DAKOTA IS CAUSING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH
DAKOTA...RESULTING IN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH TO 35 MPH ACROSS
NORTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA. GUSTS OF 40 MPH TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

NDZ006>008-014-015-054-210000-
/O.NEW.KFGF.WI.Y.0008.130520T0124Z-130521T0000Z/
TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-WESTERN WALSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...MADDOCK...
LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...ADAMS
824 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY. 

* TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY EVENING

* WINDS...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 25 MPH TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE TURTLE
MOUNTAINS AND NEAR RAIN SHOWERS.

* IMPACTS...WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET MAY BE GENERATED IN THE DEVILS 
LAKE BASIN AND RESULT IN ROADBED EROSION IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH OR FREQUENT
GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 184 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-027-035-037-039-053-055-061-077-079-
081-093-099-107-119-121-125-139-141-143-153-155-163-167-173-175-
177-179-181-185-200500-
/O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0184.000000T0000Z-130520T0500Z/



NE 
.    NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS                ANTELOPE            BOONE               
BUFFALO              BURT                BUTLER              
CEDAR                CLAY                COLFAX              
CUMING               DODGE               DOUGLAS             
FRANKLIN             GREELEY             HALL                
HAMILTON             HOWARD              KEARNEY             
KNOX                 MADISON             MERRICK             
NANCE                PIERCE              PLATTE              
POLK                 SARPY               SAUNDERS            
SHERMAN              STANTON             THURSTON            
VALLEY               WASHINGTON          WAYNE               
WEBSTER              YORK

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING TO
EVENING FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...5 TO 10 PERCENT RH/S...
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH MONDAY. AS A RESULT...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES,
AFTERNOON RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
15 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED MONDAY ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

NMZ114-TXZ258-201330-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-130520T0100Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0035.130520T1500Z-130521T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
724 PM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE 
MOUNTAINS...

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

* IMPACTS....ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON MONDAY...

.A DEEP UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES
THROUGH MONDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CIRCULATION
OF THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL INCREASE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND LEE SIDE LOW FORMATION EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL
TIGHTEN UP THE SURFACE PRESSURE GR
56e
ADIENT ACROSS THE REGION AS
WELL. WINDS AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WILL REACH 20 MPH WITH GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE...HIGHEST ALONG EAST FACING MOUNTAIN
SLOPES. MEANWHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS AREA-WIDE. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN
MEETING RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL BE IN A BELT STRETCHING FROM THE
SOUTHERN GILA REGION INTO SOUTHERN OTERO COUNTY.

NMZ113-TXZ055-056-201300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0020.130520T1800Z-130521T0300Z/
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
133 PM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

* AREA AFFECTED: PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INCLUDING
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113. FAR WEST TEXAS INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 055 AND 056.

* TIMING: MONDAY FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT.

* WIND: WEST 18 TO 21 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WITH GUSTS TO
30...STRONGEST ALONG EAST FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM 5 TO 9 PERCENT IN THE LOWLANDS...9 TO 15 
PERCENT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

PZZ645-670-673-676-200415-
POINT PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO POINT SAL WESTWARD OUT TO 10 NM-
POINT PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO POINT SAL FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PT. SAL TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM
INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS-
OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO
60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS AND SANTA BARBARA ISLANDS-
127 PM PDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...GALE FORCE WIND OUTLOOK NEAR SHORE FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

A THERMAL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST NEAR SHORE WHILE A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC THROUGH
MONDAY. A GALE WARNING CURRENTLY IN EFFECT WILL END EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST
OVER THE OFFSHORE AND COASTAL WATERS AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL
STRENGTHEN WHILE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
EARLY TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE NEAR SHORE NORTH OF POINT CONCEPTION AND OVER THE OUTER
WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. AND A GALE WATCH WILL BE ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE
FORCE WINDS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED. THE INCREASING WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED TO GENERATE LOCALLY STEEP SEAS AND HEIGHTS MAY RANGE FROM 
17 TO 19 FEET WEDNESDAY.

WEST EXPOSED FACING HARBORS...BAYS...AND INLETS MAY BE AFFECTED BY
A SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST LOCALLY GENERATED SWELL. THE SWELL WILL
CREATE HAZARDS FOR BOATERS TRAVERSING THE INNER WATERS OR PLANNING
TO DOCK OR ANCHOR IN LOCATIONS THAT HAVE A WEST AND NORTHWEST
EXPOSURE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BEFORE SETTING OFF AND WHILE UNDERWAY ALWAYS LISTEN TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WARNINGS AND FORECASTS.