AKZ220-210200-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.W.0002.000000T0000Z-130521T0200Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS AK-
458 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM AKDT MONDAY FOR 
THE YUKON RIVER AT CIRCLE...

AS OF 300 PM...FLOODING IS CONTINUING AT CIRCLE ON THE YUKON RIVER 
BUT THE WATER HAS RECEDED SIGNIFICANTLY. MAJOR FLOODING DID OCCUR 
EARLIER TODAY AND THE FLOODING WAS WORSE THAN THE FLOODING THAT 
OCCURRED IN MAY 2009. ALL THE HOMES AND MOST STRUCTURES IN CIRCLE 
WERE FLOODED.

WATER IS STILL INUNDATING SOME PORTIONS OF THE VILLAGE BUT THE WORST 
FLOODING APPEARS TO HAVE ENDED. WATER IS CROSSING THE ROAD NEAR 
THE POST OFFICE AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE STILL EXPERIENCING FLOODING. 
THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL 
HOURS.

THIS FLOODING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE THAT 
MOVED THROUGH EAGLE ON FRIDAY MAY 17. THE RIVER WATCH TEAM AND THE 
STATE OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE ICE CONDITIONS AND 
FLOODING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. WATER 
LEVELS CAN FLUCTUATE RAPIDLY AND PEOPLE ALONG THE RIVER ARE 
ENCOURAGED TO MOVE PROPERTY TO HIGHER GROUND AWAY FROM THE RIVER 
BANK.

LAT...LON 6595 14390 6569 14382 6565 14418 6594 14420

AKZ220-210000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.130520T0200Z-130523T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
INCLUDING...FORT YUKON...VENETIE...CENTRAL...CIRCLE...
STEVENS VILLAGE...BEAVER...CHALKYITSIK...BIRCH CREEK...
CIRCLE HOT SPRINGS...EAGLE SUMMIT...TWELVEMILE SUMMIT
439 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE YUKON RIVER FROM BEAVER TO RAMPART...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE YUKON RIVER FROM BEAVER TO RAMPART

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* THE BREAKUP FRONT ON THE UPPER YUKON RIVER WAS LOCATED BETWEEN
CIRCLE AND FORT YUKON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BREAKUP FRONT CAUSED MAJOR FLOODING IN
CIRCLE SUNDAY. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH FORT YUKON SOME TIME
BETWEEN SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY MORNING BEFORE CONTINUING
DOWNRIVER TO BEAVER...STEVENS VILLAGE...AND RAMPART.

* THE RIVER WATCH TEAM HAS DETERMINED THAT THE ICE FROM FORT YUKON
TO STEVENS VILLAGE APPEARS TO BE DETERIORATING... ARCHED AND
LIFTING. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BREAKUP
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRAVEL DOWNRIVER STEADILY AND
BECOME MORE SPREAD OUT REDUCING THE AMOUNT THE RIVER WILL RISE.
HOWEVER ANY RESISTANCE TO THE ONCOMING BREAKUP FRONT COULD ALLOW
THE WATER TO AGAIN COLLECT BEHIND AN ICE JAM AND INCREASE THE
FLOOD RISK TO DOWNSTREAM COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

RESIDENTS LIVING DOWNSTREAM OF FORT YUKON SHOULD MONITOR CONDITIONS
AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS EARLY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. WATER LEVELS
CAN RISE VERY QUICKLY WHEN AN ICE JAM OCCURS DOWNSTREAM OF A
COMMUNITY.

&&

AKZ208-200715-
/X.CON.PAFG.WS.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130520T2000Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE
309 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT MONDAY. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 
ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON
MONDAY. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL
AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. BRIEF FREEZING RAIN
MAY OCCUR AS WELL BUT NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS ONE OR MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER HAZARDS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

AKZ209-200715-
/X.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-130520T2000Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
309 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFF
aac
ECT UNTIL NOON AKDT
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT MONDAY. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL 6 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 
ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON
MONDAY. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY MAY BE GREATLY REDUCED. TRAVEL AND OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT. BRIEF FREEZING RAIN MAY OCCUR AS
WELL BUT NO ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT ONE OR MORE WINTER WEATHER
HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

&&

AKZ017-020>022-025-026-200700-
/X.CON.PAJK.FR.Y.0001.130520T0900Z-130520T1500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-GLACIER BAY-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
221 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM AKDT
MONDAY...

COLD AIR MASS WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST AND THE
PANHANDLE. DECREASING CLOUDS OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S IN WIND SHELTERED AND LOW
LYING LOCATIONS DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE TO TAKE PLANTS INDOORS OR TAKE OTHER
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

FROST ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED DURING THE GROWING SEASON SO THAT
SENSITIVE PLANTS CAN BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE BEFORE DAMAGE
OCCURS.

PLANTS SUBJECT TO DAMAGE FROM FROST SHOULD BE GIVEN THE
APPROPRIATE PROTECTION.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKDT SUNDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

TORNADO WATCH 188 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CDT FOR THE 
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC007-033-143-201100-
/O.CON.KWNS.TO.A.0188.000000T0000Z-130520T1100Z/



AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON               CRAWFORD            WASHINGTON

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...
AT TIPTONVILLE AFFECTING PEMISCOT AND LAKE 
COUNTIES 
AT MEMPHIS AFFECTING CRITTENDEN...DESOTO AND 
SHELBY COUNTIES 
AT HELENA AFFECTING LEE...PHILLIPS...COAHOMA AND
TUNICA COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE NEXT RIVER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY.

FOR GRAPHICAL RIVER AND FLOOD INFORMATION...PLEASE GO TO 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK NEAR MEMPHIS ON THE MAP. THEN SELECT RIVERS
AND LAKES AHPS UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE 
LATEST RIVER INFORMATION.

&&

ARC077-107-MSC027-143-210149-
/O.CON.KMEG.FL.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-130521T2232Z/
/HEEA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
849 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT HELENA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MAY 21.
* AT 8 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 44.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL.

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-011-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201200-
/O.CON.KSHV.LW.Y.0025.130520T1500Z-130521T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-CADDO-
BOSSIER-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-SABINE LA-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MANSFIELD...
COUSHATTA...MANY...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...
MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...
GILMER...JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...
HENDERSON...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...
SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL
832 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT
MONDAY...

* EVENT...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE             
THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY. SOUTH WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER     
SUNRISE WILL INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH DURING THE DAY WITH        
GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS BY MID MORNING MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* IMPACT...STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE A ROUGH CHOP AND POTENTIALLY
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

ASZ001-002-201400-
TUTUILA-AUNUU-MANUA-
257 PM SST SUN MAY 19 2013



...HIGH SURF ADVISORY CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PAGO PAGO HAS CANCELED THE HIGH 
SURF ADVISORY.

SURF HEIGHTS HAVE DROPPED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

&&

UA FAAMUTAINA FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA
OFISA O LE TAU PAGO PAGO AS
257 AOAULI ASO SA ME 19 2013

...UA FAAMUTAINA FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA...

UA FAAMUTAINA FAUTUAGA MO GALU MAUALULUGA E LE OFISA O LE TAU. 

UA FAAITIITIA GALU MAUALULUGA I LALO IFO MA LE 8 FUTU.

CAZ053-054-088-201130-
/O.NEW.KLOX.WI.Y.0043.130520T1100Z-130520T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...VALENCIA
827 PM PDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON PDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS
AND THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY. THIS ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM
TO NOON PDT MONDAY.

* WINDS AND TIMING...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY
MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDDAY.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION AS GUSTY CROSS
WINDS MAY DEVELOP ON AREA ROADWAYS...SUCH AS INTERSTATE 5 AND
HIGHWAY 14.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VALLEYS MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAINS MEANS
THAT WINDS OF 45 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED.

&&

THE AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND FREDERICK
COUNTY VIRGINIA ARE PROVIDED BY THE VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF
ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY.  THE AIR QUALITY FORECAST FOR THE DC
METRO IS PROVIDED BY THE METROPOLITAN WASHINGTON COUNCIL OF
GOVERNMENTS.  AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR MARYLAND ARE PROVIDED
BY THE MARYLAND DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT.

DCZ001-MDZ004-009-013-016>018-VAZ042-052>054-202000-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-MONTGOMERY-PRINCE GEORGES-
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-LOUDOUN-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013



THE FORECAST MONDAY FOR THE DC METRO AREA IS CODE LEVEL
GREEN...WHICH IS GOOD...AND MEANS LITTLE OR NO HEALTH RISK.
PRIMARY POLLUTANT WILL BE PARTICLES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON GROUND-LEVEL OZONE AND FINE
PARTICLES...VISIT WWW.CLEANAIRPARTNERS.NET.

IAC031-045-103-115-139-163-ILC131-161-200445-
/O.CON.KDVN.SV.W.0042.000000T0000Z-130520T0445Z/
SCOTT IA-MUSCATINE IA-LOUISA IA-JOHNSON IA-CEDAR IA-CLINTON IA-
MERCER IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
1103 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
ROCK ISLAND...WESTERN MERCER...SOUTHWESTERN CLINTON...CEDAR...EASTERN
JOHNSON...LOUISA...MUSCATINE AND NORTHWESTERN SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL
1145 PM CDT...

AT 1100 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LETTS...AND
MOVING NORTH AT 70 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE
HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MUSCATINE...WEST BRANCH...DURANT...TIPTON...MECHANICSVILLE...
STANWOOD...LONE TREE...NICHOLS...ILLINOIS CITY...FAIRPORT...WEST
LIBERTY...ATALISSA...WILTON...ROCHESTER...BENNETT...CLARENCE...
LOWDEN...WHEATLAND...TORONTO AND ARDON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 249 AND 282.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING 
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4186 9137 4195 9135 4195 9090 4196 9090
4196 9074 4107 9096 4111 9133 4125 9147
4136 9149 4142 9148 4145 9151 4148 9151
4149 9150 4152 9152
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 202DEG 63KT 4139 9126

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH

IAC099-157-200900-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-130520T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POWESHIEK IA-JASPER IA-
1058 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN JASPER AND
WESTERN POWESHIEK COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CDT...

AT 1057 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
ALTHOUGH THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAVE MOVED 
NORTHEAST OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...MODERATE RAINFALL IS CONTINUING 
TO FALL. AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE 
WARNED AREA. UP TO 0.5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH  FLOODING INCLUDE...
GRINNELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 4151 9263 4151 9304 4186 9292 4186 9257

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY...

.PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY...CAPABLE OF BRINGING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN. SOILS OVER
THE WATCH AREA ARE SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS AND A RECORD WET
SPRING SEASON. ANY RAINFALL WILL HAVE TROUBLE SOAKING INTO THE
GROUND AND COULD CAUSE FLOODED BASEMENTS...SEWER BACKUPS...STREET
AND HIGHWAY FLOODING...AND RAPID RISES ON AREA
CREEKS...STREAMS...AND RIVERS.

IAZ008-MNZ079-086-087-094-095-200430-
/O.CON.KARX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130521T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MITCHELL-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER.
3ef
..AUSTIN
317 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL IOWA AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA... 
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA... 
MITCHELL. IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...DODGE...FILLMORE...MOWER... 
OLMSTED AND WABASHA. 

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN BY MONDAY
EVENING IS POSSIBLE.

* BASEMENT FLOODING...RAPID RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND ROAD
CLOSURES ARE ALL POSSIBLE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
FLOODING...SHOULD IT OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

KSC099-200415-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-130520T0415Z/
LABETTE KS-
1104 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN LABETTE COUNTY
UNTIL 1115 PM CDT...

AT 1101 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR EDNA...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALTAMONT AND BARTLETT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3701 9550 3722 9550 3731 9528 3700 9515
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 252DEG 36KT 3714 9532

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA... 

LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE AFFECTING TODD COUNTY

.THIS RIVER FORECAST IS BASED ON RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 
INCHES IN THE PAST 2 DAYS.  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 
TONIGHT...AND IN THE COMING DAYS.  IN GENERAL...ANOTHER 1.5 TO 3 INCHES 
OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO RISING
RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA.  THE CURRENT RIVER FORECASTS ARE 
DEPENDANT ON FORECAST RAINFALL A MOUNTS...WHICH CAN BE HIGHLY VARIABLE 
IN THUNDERSTORMS.  DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN RAINFALL AMOUNT AND COVERAGE 
FORECASTS...A RIVER FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.  IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES
IN THE RIVERS REACHING FLOOD STAGE...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING WILL BE
ISSUED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION 
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOOD EVENT.

&&

MNC019-210750-
/O.ROU.KMPX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MAYM5.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
SOUTH FORK CROW RIVER BELOW MAYER.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.0 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MILL AVENUE IS CLOSED NORTH OF WATERTOWN 
FROM CARVER COUNTY ROAD 10 TO THE WRIGHT COUNTY LINE.  YANCY AVENUE
BETWEEN CARVER COUNTY ROAD 30 AND 78TH STREET IS CLOSED.  VEGA 
AVENUE BETWEEN CARVER COUNTY ROAD 33 AND 94TH STREET IS CLOSED.  
THE INTERSECTION OF UNION AVENUE AND 82ND STREET IS CLOSED. 

&&

LAT...LON 4498 9390 4498 9377 4483 9390 4486 9399

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 184 ISSUED AT 450 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

NEBRASKA

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING TO
EVENING FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...5 TO 10 PERCENT RH/S...
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH MONDAY. AS A RESULT...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES,
AFTERNOON RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
15 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED MONDAY ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

NMZ114-TXZ258-201330-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0034.000000T0000Z-130520T0100Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0035.130520T1500Z-130521T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
724 PM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT
MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE GUADALUPE 
MOUNTAINS...

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

* IMPACTS....ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON MONDAY...

.A DEEP UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES
THROUGH MONDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CIRCULATION
OF THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL INCREASE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND LEE SIDE LOW FORMATION EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL
TIGHTEN UP THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION AS
WELL. WINDS AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WILL REACH 20 MPH WITH GUSTS IN
THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE...HIGHEST ALONG EAST FACING MOUNTAIN
SLOPES. MEANWHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS AREA-WIDE. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN
MEETING RED FLAG CRITERIA WILL BE IN A BELT STRETCHING FROM THE
SOUTHERN GILA REGION INTO SOUTHERN OTERO COUNTY.

NMZ113-TXZ055-056-201300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.A.0020.130520T1800Z-130521T0300Z/
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
133 PM MDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

* AREA AFFECTED: PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INCLUDING
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113. FAR WEST TEXAS INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 055 AND 056.

* TIMING: MONDAY FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT.

* WIND: WEST 18 TO 21 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WITH GUSTS TO
30...STRONGEST ALONG EAST FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM 5 TO 9 PERCENT IN THE LOWLANDS...9 TO 15 
PERCENT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

PZZ645-670-673-676-201130-
POINT PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO POINT SAL WESTWARD OUT TO 10 NM-
POINT PIEDRAS BLANCAS TO POINT SAL FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PT. SAL TO SANTA CRUZ ISLAND CA AND WESTWARD 60 NM
INCLUDING SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS-
OUTER WATERS FROM SANTA CRUZ ISLAND TO SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND TO
60 NM OFFSHORE INCLUDING SAN NICOLAS AND SANTA BARBARA ISLANDS-
851 PM PDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OFF OF
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING CURRENTLY IN EFFECT WILL END EARLY MONDAY
MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN
PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT
700 NM NW OF EUREKA WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST INTO THE
GREAT BASIN THROUGH TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS WILL POSSIBLY INCREASE TO GALE FORCE BETWEEN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. THE WINDS COULD GENERATE LOCALLY STEEP SEAS AND
HEIGHTS COULD RANGE BETWEEN 12 TO 18 FEET.

WEST AND NORTHWEST EXPOSED FACING HARBORS...BAYS...AND INLETS MAY
BE AFFECTED BY STEEP AND SHORT PERIOD NORTHWEST LOCALLY GENERATED
SWELL. THE SWELL WILL CREATE HAZARDS FOR BOATERS TRAVERSING THE
INNER WATERS OR PLANNING TO DOCK OR ANCHOR IN LOCATIONS THAT HAVE
A WEST AND NORTHWEST EXPOSURE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

BEFORE SETTING OFF AND WHILE UNDERWAY ALWAYS LISTEN TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WARNINGS AND FORECASTS.