AKZ017-020-021-025-202215-
/X.EXP.PAJK.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-130520T1500Z/
/X.CON.PAJK.FZ.A.0001.130521T0900Z-130521T1500Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-GLACIER BAY-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...JUNEAU
701 AM AKDT MON MAY 20 2013



...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM AKDT THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...INCLUDING YAKUTAT.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL PANHANDLE WILL FALL INTO
THE UPPER 20S TO THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A HARD FREEZE IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.

A HARD FREEZE IN SOUTHEAST ALASKA IS DEFINED AS FREEZING
TEMPERATURES LASTING SIX HOURS OR LONGER...OR TEMPERATURES
FALLING TO 28 DEGREES OR COLDER FOR ANY AMOUNT OF TIME.

PLANTS SUBJECT TO DAMAGE FROM FROST OR SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE GIVEN APPROPRIATE PROTECTION.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKDT MONDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

CORRECTED WORDING

AKZ220-220000-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.W.0003.000000T0000Z-130522T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS AK-
643 AM AKDT MON MAY 20 2013



...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM AKDT TUESDAY FOR 
THE YUKON RIVER AT FORT YUKON...

AS OF 6 AM MONDAY MORNING...FORT YUKON LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 
WATER LEVELS ARE RISING IN FORT YUKON...HOWEVER FLOODING IS NOT 
OCCURRING YET. THE RIVER WATCH TEAM REPORTED SUNDAY EVENING THAT THE 
BREAKUP FRONT ON THE YUKON RIVER WAS APPROXIMATELY 20 MILES UPSTREAM 
FROM FORT YUKON. THE REMAINING ICE BETWEEN CIRCLE AND FORT YUKON 
APPEARS TO BE DETERIORATING AND THE BREAK UP FRONT IS MOVING 
RAPIDLY. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BREAKUP 
FRONT CAUSED MAJOR FLOODING IN CIRCLE SUNDAY. IT IS EXPECTED TO 
REACH FORT YUKON SOME TIME MONDAY MORNING. 

THE WATER WILL RISE SLOWLY INITIALLY AS THE ICE STARTS MOVING AT 
FORT YUKON...BUT WILL LIKELY RISE VERY QUICKLY AS THE SURGE OF WATER 
ARRIVES. THE ICE DOWNSTREAM OF FORT YUKON APPEARS TO BE STRONGER AND 
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AN ICE JAM MAY FORM.

LOW LYING AREAS IN FORT YUKON ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
SOMETIME MONDAY. THE WATER IS EXPECTED TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH LITTLE 
NOTICE. IF AN ICE JAM FORMS DOWNSTREAM OF FORT YUKON THE WATER COULD 
RISE EVEN HIGHER AND FLOOD OTHER AREAS OF TOWN. 

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. WATER 
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE RAPIDLY MONDAY. FORT YUKON RESIDENTS IN 
AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING MUST TAKE PRECAUTIONS NOW TO PROTECT LIFE 
AND PROPERTY. 

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. WATER
LEVELS CAN RISE RAPIDLY AND PEOPLE ALONG THE RIVER ARE ENCOURAGED TO 
MOVE PROPERTY TO HIGHER GROUND AWAY FROM THE RIVER BANK.

LAT...LON 6656 14556 6660 14528 6646 14486 6641 14516

AKZ201-210200-
/X.CON.PAFG.WW.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-130521T0200Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
435 AM AKDT MON MAY 20 2013



...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 PM AKDT THIS EVENING. 

* FREEZING RAIN...LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH IF ICE 
ACCUMULATION. 

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH MONDAY. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. ICE ACCUMULATION ON THE 
GROUND WILL MAKE WALKING AND DRIVING SURFACES SLIPPERY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT ONE OR MORE WINTER WEATHER
HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES.

&&

AKZ207-202000-
/X.CON.PAFG.WS.W.0014.000000T0000Z-130520T2000Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
421 AM AKDT MON MAY 20 2013



...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKDT TODAY. 

* SNOW...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH

* VISIBILITY...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL REDUCE VISIBILI
221b
TY TO 
ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON 
MONDAY. SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED AND SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE INTO DRIFTS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR. TRAVEL
AND OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WILL BE DIFFICULT.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS ONE OR MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER HAZARDS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED.

&&

AKZ220-210000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.130520T0200Z-130523T0000Z/
/00000.0.IJ.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS-
INCLUDING...FORT YUKON...VENETIE...CENTRAL...CIRCLE...
STEVENS VILLAGE...BEAVER...CHALKYITSIK...BIRCH CREEK...
CIRCLE HOT SPRINGS...EAGLE SUMMIT...TWELVEMILE SUMMIT
439 PM AKDT SUN MAY 19 2013



...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
THE YUKON RIVER FROM BEAVER TO RAMPART...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE YUKON RIVER FROM BEAVER TO RAMPART

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

* THE BREAKUP FRONT ON THE UPPER YUKON RIVER WAS LOCATED BETWEEN
CIRCLE AND FORT YUKON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BREAKUP FRONT CAUSED MAJOR FLOODING IN
CIRCLE SUNDAY. IT IS EXPECTED TO REACH FORT YUKON SOME TIME
BETWEEN SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY MORNING BEFORE CONTINUING
DOWNRIVER TO BEAVER...STEVENS VILLAGE...AND RAMPART.

* THE RIVER WATCH TEAM HAS DETERMINED THAT THE ICE FROM FORT YUKON
TO STEVENS VILLAGE APPEARS TO BE DETERIORATING... ARCHED AND
LIFTING. THE SURGE OF WATER AND ICE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BREAKUP
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRAVEL DOWNRIVER STEADILY AND
BECOME MORE SPREAD OUT REDUCING THE AMOUNT THE RIVER WILL RISE.
HOWEVER ANY RESISTANCE TO THE ONCOMING BREAKUP FRONT COULD ALLOW
THE WATER TO AGAIN COLLECT BEHIND AN ICE JAM AND INCREASE THE
FLOOD RISK TO DOWNSTREAM COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

RESIDENTS LIVING DOWNSTREAM OF FORT YUKON SHOULD MONITOR CONDITIONS
AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS EARLY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. WATER LEVELS
CAN RISE VERY QUICKLY WHEN AN ICE JAM OCCURS DOWNSTREAM OF A
COMMUNITY.

&&

...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY AFFECTING CHICOT...DESHA...
BOLIVAR AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES

ARC017-041-MSC011-151-212149-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130525T2200Z/
/ARSA4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1049 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013



THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW THE ACTION STAGE
OF 36 FEET BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 35.0 FEET...THE ROAD TO DONALDSON POINT IS CUT OFF.

&&

FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ARKANSAS CITY  37  36.7 MON 10 AM  36.5  36.1  35.6     FALLING

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-011-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201700-
/O.CON.KSHV.LW.Y.0025.130520T1500Z-130521T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-CADDO-
BOSSIER-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-SABINE LA-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-
TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-
CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...HOPE...
TEXARKANA...LEWISVILLE...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MANSFIELD...
COUSHATTA...MANY...IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...
MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...
GILMER...JEFFERSON...TYLER...LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...
HENDERSON...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...CENTER...LUFKIN...
SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL
509 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013



...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* EVENT...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL AGAIN TIGHTEN TODAY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AHEAD OF AN AREA OF DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
TEXAS. SOUTH WINDS WITH INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY MID MORNING
WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 30 MPH AT TIMES.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE
DIMINISHING SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.

* IMPACT...STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE A ROUGH CHOP AND POTENTIALLY
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

CAZ053-054-088-201900-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0043.130520T1100Z-130520T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...VALENCIA
355 AM PDT MON MAY 20 2013



...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT TODAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...AREAS OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING
AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDDAY.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION AS GUSTY CROSS 
WINDS MAY DEVELOP ON AREA ROADWAYS...SUCH AS INTERSTATE 5 AND 
HIGHWAY 14.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VALLEYS MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR
GREATER ARE EXPECTED. A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE MOUNTAINS MEANS
THAT WINDS OF 45 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED.

&&

THE AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND FREDERICK
COUNTY VIRGINIA ARE PROVIDED BY THE VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF
ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY.  THE AIR QUALITY FORECAST FOR THE DC
METRO IS PROVIDED BY THE METROPOLITAN WASHINGTON COUNCIL OF
GOVERNMENTS.  AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR MARYLAND ARE PROVIDED
BY THE MARYLAND DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT.

DCZ001-MDZ004-009-013-016>018-VAZ042-052>054-202000-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-MONTGOMERY-PRINCE GEORGES-
CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-LOUDOUN-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-
425 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013



THE FORECAST MONDAY FOR THE DC METRO AREA IS CODE LEVEL
GREEN...WHICH IS GOOD...AND MEANS LITTLE OR NO HEALTH RISK.
PRIMARY POLLUTANT WILL BE PARTICLES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON GROUND-LEVEL OZONE AND FINE
PARTICLES...VISIT WWW.CLEANAIRPARTNERS.NET.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT MONDAY

* AT 1127 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED  
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. RADAR ESTIMATED 5 TO 9 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN THE 
ABERDEEN AREA.  

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO   
OCCUR. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER AREAS OF EAST 
CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ABERDEEN AND 
ABERDEEN GOLF COURSE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

&&

LAT...LON 2658 8018 2658 8009 2649 8010 2649 8018

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR SOUTH SHORES OF ALL
ISLANDS...

.A SERIES OF SOUTH SWELLS WILL KEEP SURF ABOVE THE ADVISORY LEVEL
ALONG SOUTH SHORES THROUGH THIS EVENING. SURF WILL REMAIN ELEVATED
THROUGH MID-WEEK.

HIZ001>003-005-006-012>014-016-018-019-021-023>025-210215-
/O.CON.PHFO.SU.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-130521T0400Z/
NIIHAU-KAUAI WINDWARD-KAUAI LEEWARD-OAHU SOUTH SHORE-
WAIANAE COAST-MOLOKAI WINDWARD-MOLOKAI LEEWARD-LANAI MAKAI-
KAHOOLAWE-MAUI LEEWARD WEST-MAUI CENTRAL VALLEY-LEEWARD HALEAKALA-
KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-
316 AM HST MON MAY 20 2013



...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM HST THIS
EVENING. 

* SURF...5 TO 8 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH 6 PM HST THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE...EXPECT LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG 
CURRENTS WHICH WILL MAKE SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND DANGEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

USE EXTRA CAUTION AND FOLLOW ALL ADVICE FROM OCEAN SAFETY
OFFICIALS.

&&

...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...

.DUE TO SUCH HEAVY RAIN FRIDAY AND AGAIN YESTERDAY...
PARTS OF NORTHERN IOWA AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA CONTINUE TO BE 
VULNERABLE FOR MORE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO REFORM THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD MAKE MATTERS
WORSE. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE THE HEAVIEST RAIN LATER TODAY COULD
FOCUS EAST AND SOUTH OF THE HARDEST HIT AREAS WHICH WOULD LESSEN
THE RISK FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING BUT THOSE DETAILS WILL NOT BE
ABLE TO BE DETERMINED UNTIL STORMS DEVELOP LATER TODAY.

IAZ008-MNZ079-086-087-094-095-202245-
/O.CON.KARX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130521T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MITCHELL-WABASHA-DODGE-OLMSTED-MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
932 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013



...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL IOWA AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA... 
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTH CENTRAL IOWA... 
MITCHELL. IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...DODGE...FILLMORE...MOWER... 
OLMSTED AND WABASHA. 

* UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

* THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH
OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.

* BASEMENT FLOODING...RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND ROAD
CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE OR WILL CONTINUE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH...
* UNTIL 115 PM EDT

* AT 1150 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 50 KNOTS OR GREATER
FROM 11 NM NORTHWEST OF LORAIN HARBOR TO 5 NM WEST OF LORAIN
HARBOR...OR FROM 11 NM NORTHWEST OF LORAIN HARBOR TO VERMILION...  
MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS. HEAVY RAIN...LIGHTNING AND HAIL TO PENNY  
SIZE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AVON
POINT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 4170 8235 4186 8202 4180 8200 4157 8199
4152 8201 4150 8203 4142 8235
TIME...MOT...LOC 1552Z 270DEG 16KT 4162 8233 4144 8228

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA... 

LONG PRAIRIE RIVER AT LONG PRAIRIE AFFECTING TODD COUNTY

.THIS RIVER FORECAST IS BASED ON RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 
INCHES IN THE PAST 2 DAYS.  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 
TONIGHT...AND IN THE COMING DAYS.  IN GENERAL...ANOTHER 1.5 TO 3 INCHES 
OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO RISING
RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA.  THE CURRENT RIVER FORECASTS ARE 
DEPENDANT ON FORECAST RAINFALL A MOUNTS...WHICH CAN BE HIGHLY VARIABLE 
IN THUNDERSTORMS.  DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN RAINFALL AMOUNT AND COVERAGE 
FORECASTS...A RIVER FLOOD WATCH HAS 
4f6
BEEN ISSUED.  IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES
IN THE RIVERS REACHING FLOOD STAGE...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING WILL BE
ISSUED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION 
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS FLOOD EVENT.

&&

MNC019-210750-
/O.ROU.KMPX.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MAYM5.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013



FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
SOUTH FORK CROW RIVER BELOW MAYER.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET. 
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.0 FEET WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MILL AVENUE IS CLOSED NORTH OF WATERTOWN 
FROM CARVER COUNTY ROAD 10 TO THE WRIGHT COUNTY LINE.  YANCY AVENUE
BETWEEN CARVER COUNTY ROAD 30 AND 78TH STREET IS CLOSED.  VEGA 
AVENUE BETWEEN CARVER COUNTY ROAD 33 AND 94TH STREET IS CLOSED.  
THE INTERSECTION OF UNION AVENUE AND 82ND STREET IS CLOSED. 

&&

LAT...LON 4498 9390 4498 9377 4483 9390 4486 9399

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS STATES WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL INCREASE
TODAY WHILE FALLING PRESSURE EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL CAUSE THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS AT
THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WILL REACH 20 MPH WITH GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 35 MPH
RANGE...HIGHEST WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE AND ALONG EAST FACING
MOUNTAIN SLOPES. MEANWHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS AREA-WIDE.

NMZ110>112-210300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0020.130520T1800Z-130521T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
653 AM MDT MON MAY 20 2013



...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

* AREA AFFECTED: PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER ZONES 110 111 112 AND 113. FAR
WEST TEXAS INCLUDING FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055.

* TIMING: TODAY FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT.

* WIND: WEST 20 TO 25 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE AND
ALONG EAST FACING MOUNTAIN SLOPES. LIGHTER WINDS IN THE NORTHERN
TULAROSA BASIN AWAY FROM THE SAN ANDRES RANGE.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM 5 TO 9 PERCENT IN THE LOWLANDS...9 TO 15 
PERCENT IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.
OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&