Welcome, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

647
FXUS62 KRAH 181026
AFDRAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
630 AM EDT Thu Sep 18 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will extend over the area into the weekend with a
warming trend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 105 AM Thursday...
Dry and warmer weather today.
As low pressure continues to pull away to the NE, high pressure will
take over. After some early morning stratus and fog, mainly in the
north and east the skies will become mostly sunny. It will take a
bit longer in the NE, but skies there will become mostly sunny this
afternoon. Highs from around 80 NE ranging into the upper 80s SW are
favored today. Winds will be light and variable. Mostly clear skies
tonight with some patchy late night fog in the NE. Lows in the lower
to mid 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 105 AM Thursday...
Continued warming and remaining dry.
Upper ridging with a dry NW flow aloft with surface high pressure
will bring mainly sunny and dry weather Friday. Highs should warm
into the mid 80s NE ranging to around 90 SW. Mainly clear skies
Friday night are expected. Lows generally in the lower to mid 60s
are expected.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 141 AM Thursday...
Very warm to hot Saturday, with some cooling Sunday into early next
week.
No significant rainfall expected.
The pattern remains largely stable with our moisture sources
essentially cut off by the upper level flow. This pattern may change
by days 6-7 and beyond, but for now it appears dry through Tuesday.
The backdoor front Saturday will be pushed by surface high pressure
that will build down the eastern seaboard from SE Canada Sunday and
Monday. After a hot Saturday, temperatures will cool a bit Sunday.
Expect highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s Saturday, cooling into the
lower to mid 80s Sunday and Monday. The high pressure will weaken by
mid-week. The upper flow may also turn more to the SW with time.
This may allow the low level moisture to return by the middle of the
week. Any significant rain is expected to remain well southeast and
west of the region through then.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 630 AM Thursday...
12Z update: The highest probabilities of fog/stratus and associated
flight restrictions (MVFR to possibly IFR for several hours around
sunrise) are expected at KRWI, with lower probabilities elsewhere.
Otherwise, generally VFR conditions are expected through 12z/Friday.
Outlook: Largely VFR conditions are expected through Monday with
high pressure likely lingering through the period.
&&
.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RAH
NEAR TERM...RAH
SHORT TERM...RAH
LONG TERM...BSD/Danco
AVIATION...RAH

NWS RAH Office Area Forecast Discussion