16' - Major flooding begins. Flooding will reach the lower floor of the Ashley Park Apartments, and access to the apartments via Maplewood Dr. is blocked. Flooding can be expected to impede traffic on Merritt St, Holden Rd, and High Point Rd. Flooding will threat homes along Carrington St., Talley St., and Stokes St. where evacuations may be needed.

14' - Moderate flooding begins. Water will reach the road surface at Merritt Dr. Flooding will threaten Maplewood Dr. access to the Ashley Creek Apartments.

11' - Minor flooding begins in areas immediately adjacent to the creek.

9' - Action stage. The creek is at bankfull and water will reach the top opening of the culvert under Merritt St.