Breslau Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

869
FXUS64 KEWX 120600
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
100 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons through the
  next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Upper level high pressure over West TX continues to influence our
area while the surface high is located along the Texas/Louisiana
border. Recent dewpoint observations show dewpoints already in the
40s. This should remain short lived as winds briefly switch out of
the southeast bringing a slight uptick in moisture (upper 50s to
lower 60s). Though moisture increases we should still see another
cool morning with lows upper 50s north to lower 60s south and highs
once again in the lower 90s. Expect a near repeat for Monday`s
forecast as we continue to remain influenced by this high.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
The upper level ridge aloft strengthens Tuesday and Wednesday,
centering over or just east of our area. Global models continue to
remain in great agreement indicating this high shunting all
disturbances to our north and west keeping us dry. Well above normal
high temperatures should continue next week with highs expected to
approach and exceed 90 degrees. There are signals by some of the
Global models (GFS and Euro) that we could be in for a pattern
change just outside this forecast period with even a decent shot
of rain (maybe?). However, for now our pattern of warmer afternoon
highs and cooler mornings looks to continue through the work week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
VFR flying through at least Sunday evening. Strengthening southerly
boundary layer flow will increase moisture late night into morning
hours prior to mixing, especially Sunday night into Monday. HREF
probabilities show very low (10-20%) chances of MVFR CIGs well to
the east of the I-35 sites briefly early Sunday morning. There are
increasing probabilities of MVFR CIGs Sunday night after 13/06Z with
highest chances (40-70%) after 13/12Z Monday. Will introduce SCT012.
Winds at the I-35 sites, light mainly southerly increase to 7 to 13
KTs with a few gusts to 20 KTs Sunday midday, then decrease to 4 to
8 KTs Sunday night. Winds at KDRT easterly 4 to 8 KTs increase to
southeasterly 10 to 16 KTs with a few gusts to 25 KTs Sunday midday,
then easterly 5 to 8 KTs Sunday night.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Dry conditions over the next week along with low afternoon humidity
on most days will continue to promote the drying of fuels across
the region. Despite relatively weak winds, elevated fire weather
conditions are possible the next several days, especially along
and east of the I-35 corridor where fuels are more drought
stressed.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              92  65  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  92  63  91  62 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     91  62  91  63 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            89  64  87  63 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           92  69  91  70 /   0  10   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        91  63  90  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             91  64  90  65 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        93  62  92  62 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   91  62  91  62 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       91  66  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           92  66  92  68 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...04

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion