Mount Lucas, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

121
FXUS64 KCRP 120539
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1239 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1235 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
- Seasonal temperatures continue through the weekend into next week
- Next best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be Today and
  again early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Showers and thunderstorms are going to be possible this morning
through the early afternoon hours as a shortwave makes its way
around the aforementioned ridge parked over Texas. This is expected
to combine with slightly deeper tropical moisture that will filter
in over the course of today allowing for a low to medium chance (30-
55%). PoPs should be confined to the areas similar to yesterday
along the southern Coastal Bend and Brush Country, and they should
be isolated to scattered in nature. Model guidance continue to
support this solution in the latest runs. After today though, rain
chances diminish and dont return until early next week. This will be
due to the progression of the ridge slightly to the east, which will
allow for a steady diet of more shortwaves to progress into the
region. PoPs come up to about 20% beginning Monday before increasing
to around 30-45% over land by Tuesday and lasting through the
majority of the week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
Expect mostly VFR conditions across all terminals through the TAF
period. There`s a medium chance for MVFR conditions could develop
along the western sites due to low ceilings and at ALI and VCT due
to patchy fog. Winds will increase once again tomorrow afternoon
before becoming light and variable again overnight.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Fri Sep 12 2025
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore wind can be expected
through the weekend and into next week. There will be brief
periods of a fresh breeze (BF 5) across the bays and nearshore
waters each afternoon. Low to medium (30-65%) chances of showers
and thunderstorms can be expected Friday, becoming low (10-30%)
over the weekend. Rain chances increase once again next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    91  76  92  76 /  40   0  10   0
Victoria          95  70  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            97  75  98  74 /  30  10  20   0
Alice             94  72  95  72 /  50   0  10   0
Rockport          91  79  91  78 /  30   0  10  10
Cotulla           96  72  97  72 /  30   0  10   0
Kingsville        91  73  93  73 /  50   0  10   0
Navy Corpus       89  81  89  81 /  50  10  10  10
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion