Point Pleasant Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

136
FXUS63 KPAH 111712
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1212 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High pressure will keep the next 7 days dry and seasonally
  mild.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Despite the Omega blocking-like pattern`s hold, there are
subtleties at play in the otherwise 7 day forecast of dry and
seasonally mild conditions. One example is our current cloud
cover associated with a subtle pva kink in the overtop-the-ridge
flow. Gridded time/height cross sections suggest this ribbon of
moisture manifest with the associated deck of clouds lingers
into the mid morning hours before it disperses. If that holds,
fog chances should lessen. But if/where breaks occur, fog can
quickly become an issue, esp in our far east. We`ll have to keep
a close eye upon it thru daybreak but will stick with our
inherited/persistence strategy nowcast for now.
The warmest temps of the period look to be in the early half of
the next work week, when H5 heights peak into the 588 DM range,
reflecting a 60+ DM increase from now. This will lead to a bump
back into the lower 80s starting Monday but esp Tuesday and
potentially bleeding into Wednesday, which by then will
represent an almost 10 degree above seasonal normal high. Lows
move similarly, into the mid 50s, also close to 10F above norms
by then.
The high stays strong enough to maintain its predominant
influence thru the remainder of next week, but does show signs
of breaking down a little as low pressure presses in upon it
from the west by week`s end. In response, temps should retreat
back a little, more solidly into the 70s for highs, but still
round out a few degrees above normal on the daily. Rain chances
look scarce until 200+ hours into the forecast, so perhaps
before the end of the following weekend we`ll see them
re-emerge.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
VFR conditions are anticipated through at least the next 12
hours with generally light prevailing easterly winds. Ground fog
could be an impediment in the early morning hours Sunday.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...JGG

NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion