Bar Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

618
FXUS64 KEWX 111045
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
545 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons this
  weekend.
- Continued warm afternoons and dry next week
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
High pressure to the northeast allows dry air to filter into the
region overnight, Resulting in another cool morning with lows upper
50s north to low 60s south and highs once again right around 90.
Expect a near repeat for Sunday`s forecast as we remain influenced
by this high.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
By Sunday evening, low level moisture is forecast to gradually
increase into Monday. The upper level ridge aloft strengthens Monday
through Wednesday, centering over or just east of our area. By
Tuesday global models continue to indicate H5 heights of 594dm
which translates to the 99th percentile for this time of year aka
well above normal high temperatures for the middle of October.
Average highs are in the 80s however we will continue to see highs
approach and exceed 90 degrees through all next week. Thus our
pattern of warmer afternoon highs and cooler mornings will
continue.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
VFR flying through Sunday. Winds at the I-35 sites, light and VRBL
become easterly at 5 to 9 KTs by midday, then southerly tonight into
Sunday. Winds at KDRT become southeasterly at 8 to 12 KTs later this
morning, then easterly around 5 KTs tonight.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
The lack of significant rainfall over the past month for most
locations has led to flash drought conditions. Dry conditions over
the next week along with low afternoon humidity, especially Saturday
and Sunday, will continue to promote the drying of fuels across the
region. Despite relatively weak winds, elevated fire weather
conditions are possible the next several days, especially along and
east of the I-35 corridor where fuels are more drought stressed.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              93  64  93  65 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  92  61  92  63 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     92  61  92  62 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            89  62  89  63 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           92  66  92  68 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        91  62  91  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             92  60  91  63 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        93  61  93  62 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   92  61  92  63 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       92  64  91  65 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           93  64  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...04

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion