Bar Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

270
FXUS64 KEWX 122347
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
647 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons through the
  week.
- Signs of some rain next weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
The center of an upper level high has drifted to northern Mexico
today. Surface high pressure is centered over southwestern LA
making winds across our CWA southeasterly. We are starting to see
a little moisture return over the eastern counties. The upper
ridge will continue to dominate during the short term keeping our
weather dry. The low level flow will remain southeasterly and
dewpoints will increase. Low temperatures tonight will be 2-3
degrees warmer than Saturday night and then be about the same
Tuesday morning. Highs Monday will be nearly the same as today.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
The upper ridge will remain dominant through the middle of next
week. This will keep all forcing to our west and north, so our
weather will stay dry. The latter part of the week a deep upper
trough will move across the Rockies into the Plains. Down here the
flow will become westerly. While this change the wind direction
aloft, it won`t provide any lift to produce rain. Temperatures
through the long term period will be fairly persistent varying
only a degree or two day to day. Highs will be above normal and
lows near normal. Saturday the tail end of the upper trough will
move across TX and bring a cold front across our CWA. There may
be enough lift and moisture over our eastern counties to generate
showers and thunderstorms Saturday night and early Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 639 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
VFR conditions continue this evening as wind gusts are expected to
ease through sunset. Some high clouds move in from the west, with
the clouds remaining thicker out west near the Rio Grande. Model
soundings still favor the development of MVFR clouds Monday
morning, with the higher coverage of low clouds remaining near
DRT. We will continue to mention prevailing MVFR conditions at
DRT, SAT and SSF, with a TEMPO group at AUS. Will monitor 00Z
soundings and the latest forecasts to see if we need to scale
back to TEMPO groups at SAT and SSF instead of prevailing.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              64  92  65  92 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  62  91  62  92 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     62  90  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            63  87  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  91  70  89 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        62  90  62  90 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             64  90  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        62  91  62  92 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   62  91  62  91 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       66  90  66  90 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           66  91  67  91 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...Platt

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion