Alexander Cemetery, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

395
FXUS64 KHGX 251745
AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1245 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- A few showers, perhaps an isolated thunderstorm, will continue
  along the coastal and marine zones this afternoon and evening.
- Drier air and near to slightly above average temperatures are
  forecast through the weekend and much of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A cold front moved through southeast Texas yesterday evening and
last night. There isn`t much cold air associated with the airmass,
but there is much drier air; particularly in the mid and upper
levels. Dewpoint temperatures early this morning were still in the
upper 60s to low 70s, but deep mixing of the boundary layer and
dry advection should lower dewpoints into the low 60s for most of
the area later today. The only exceptions to this will be near the
coast where dewpoints linger in the 70s until tonight.
A 20-40% chance of scattered showers, and perhaps an isolated
thunderstorm, continues today and tonight near the coast and in
our marine zones. There should be a somewhat healthy diurnal
cumulus field across most of the region today and tomorrow. Some
of the CAM guidance shows spotty showers developing, but strong
subsidence aloft should preclude any substantial/long-lasting
precipitation cores. We`ve capped PoPs associated with this
activity around 10%.
High pressure will build into the region and dominate the local
weather pattern the next several days. Expect temperatures to
hover near to slightly above average through the weekend and much
of next week as well. When you combine the (slightly) lower
temperatures with the dry air, it should be a nice weekend to
head outdoors.
The airmass will start to modify in the middle to late parts of
next week, but either a broad area of low pressure in the gulf or
a building ridge to our northwest should keep east-northeast winds
in place. This will keep higher moisture air locked in the gulf
and temperatures within a few degrees of normal. Rain chances do
return to the forecast early next week, but generally for our
marine and coastal zones.
Bonnette
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
VFR vis and cigs to prevail through the TAF period. Northerly
winds around 10 knots should become more light and variable this
evening and tonight. Wind forecast somewhat complicated at the
coast. Therefore, the wind forecast is more uncertain at GLS,
where we think winds will become variable in the afternoon then
pick up from the north late overnight.
Self
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Scattered showers, and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm, will
continue this afternoon and most of tonight. Precip chances should
come to an end by tomorrow morning. The winds are generally out of
the north-northeast and will remain that way for the next couple
days. A broad area of low pressure may develop in the southern
gulf later this weekend and create ENE winds around 10-15 mph and
slightly choppy conditions Sunday and Monday.
Bonnette
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  64  88  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  68  89  67  89 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  76  87  76  86 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Bonnette
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...Bonnette

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion