Alexis North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

309
FXUS62 KGSP 120547
AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
147 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal low will slowly drift north along the East Coast through
early next week. This system may bring rain to the North Carolina
Piedmont and eastern Upstate tonight this evening as it passes by to
our east. The low will then drift offshore by midweek, as dry high
pressure builds in from the west and brings above normal
temperatures to the region.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 130 am EDT Sunday: A cyclone off the South Carolina coast
is forecast to reach its nadir this morning, before beginning
a steady weakening phase as it drifts slowly northeast through
the period. The leading edge of a precip band associated with
this feature has moved into the extreme southeast corner of
our CWA, but is struggling to make much additional westward
progress as it is encountering a region of rather dry mid-level
air. As this layer slowly moistens, precip is forecast to
make some additional westward progress through the morning,
with PoPs peaking around 12Z before steadily diminishing...with
likely-to-categorical probabilities confined to locations roughly
east of a Union,SC=>Charlotte=>Salisbury line, tapering toward the
west such that chances are 

NWS GSP Office Area Forecast Discussion