Arcadia, Oklahoma Weather Forecast Discussion

958
FXUS64 KOUN 091756
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1256 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1253 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
- Severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon into the
   evening across far western Oklahoma.
- Below average temperature today although a warming trend
   starting mid-week with warmer than average temperatures
   through the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Mid-level heights will increase gradually today as a ridge slowly
moves in from the west. We will begin to see increasing high
temperatures through the week and into the weekend as the
aforementioned ridge moves in from the west and stay overhead.
Afternoon highs today will get up into the mid 80s to low 90s
across the whole area. Strong to severe storms are expected to
form along the southern Rockies this afternoon and push towards
the east. These storms may make it into our far western counties
this evening, although they will likely be on a downward trend.
Given the environment ahead of these storms however, a few storms
may produce strong to severe wind gusts and large hail.
Mostly clear skies tonight will help overnight lows dip down into
the low to mid 60s with a light southerly breeze. Any storm
activity will continue to diminish into the night as they move
eastward.
Bunker
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
The aforementioned ridge will continue to build over our area
through the middle of the week. This will help to bolster the
warming trend to above average temperatures across the area.
Afternoon highs will generally be in the upper 80s to low 90s
across the area with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. A
mid-level shortwave digging through the ridge on Wednesday morning
could produce a few weak elevated thunderstorms transitioning to
rain showers early Wednesday morning across northwest Oklahoma.
Bunker
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Slightly warmer than average temperatures will persist into early
next week with highs generally in the lower to mid 90s.  Although
the Southern Plains stays under weak ridging, a deep amplitude
trough over the entire Western U.S. will gradually transition
eastward reaching the Southern High Plains by Saturday.  A series of
shortwave disturbances flowing downstream of the trough will bring
low rain/storm chances back into our area for this weekend. The
rain/storm chances will be restricted to western Oklahoma and parts
of western north Texas on Saturday then expanding into all of
central Oklahoma on Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Low
chances for showers and storms will be focused across northwest
Oklahoma tonight, potentially impacting KWWR after midnight.
Otherwise, scattered high clouds and south to southeast winds are
expected through tomorrow.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  65  89  66  91 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         66  94  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  64  93  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           65  90  65  93 /  20  20   0   0
Ponca City OK     62  89  65  93 /   0  10   0   0
Durant OK         60  90  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...08

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion