Argus, California Weather Forecast Discussion

908
FXUS65 KVEF 110515
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1015 PM PDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* A low pressure system will bring gusty winds and cooler
  temperatures to the region over the next few days.
* The Owens Valley and portions of Esmeralda County will continue to
  see impacts from smoke during the overnight and morning hours
  today and tomorrow.
&&
.DISCUSSION...through Tuesday.
Southerly to southwesterly winds will continue to increase
throughout the area as a low pressure system slowly pushes into the
area. The strongest winds are expected across Mohave County where a
Wind Advisory remains in effect until 7:00 pm MST this evening as
wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible this afternoon. Elsewhere,
wind gusts are expected to top out in the 20 to 35 mph range. In
addition to the Wind Advisory for Mohave County, a Lake Wind
Advisory is in effect for the Lake Mead National Recreation Area
until 7:00 pm PDT/MST as these elevated winds will result in choppy
waves and hazardous boating conditions on lakes Mead and Mohave.
Winds will decrease slightly overnight, returning again late
tomorrow morning. However, tomorrow`s winds will not be as strong as
today`s. Outside of winds, this system will also bring cooler than
normal temperatures to the region, which will hang around into next
week. Additionally, as the low pushes in, the Sierra and portions of
Esmeralda County will see up to a 30% chance of showers and
thunderstorms today and tomorrow.
Smoke from the Garnet fire will continue to impact the Owens Valley
and portions of Esmeralda County as we find ourselves under
southwesterly flow aloft today and tomorrow. Reduced visibility and
poor air quality can be expected overnight into the morning hours
through at least tomorrow. Conditions look to improve across the
northwestern portions of our forecast area beginning Friday as we
find ourselves on the back side of the low pressure system, which
will result in northwesterly flow aloft.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast
Package...Moderate confidence in the overnight wind forecast. Most
likely, winds will become south around 10KT, however there is a low
chance for west winds gusting over 20KT to occur in the next few
hours. By 09Z, no matter what happens over the next few hours, wind
should become south, briefly drop any gusts for a few hours, and sit
around 10KT. Between 12Z-15Z, moderate confidence south gusts to
20KT will return. This will continue until winds become southwest
around 20KT after 21Z. Unlike the past few evening, winds will
quickly diminish after sunset Thursday evening and fall back to
typical overnight wind patterns under 8KT. VFR and dry conditions
will prevail through the period.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Smoke has been limited
in the Owens Valley this evening. Isolated visibility restrictions
to 6SM is possible, but expecting unrestricted conditions to
continue tonight. Otherwise VFR conditions expected across the
region tonight and Thursday. There is a low chance for showers and
thunderstorms to develop in the Sierra, moving into the Owens Valley
after 00Z Thursday evening, which could bring lightning, sudden
gusty winds and CIGS to 5000ft. Elsewhere, it will be dry. Winds
tonight should follow typical patterns, with the strongest winds in
the Western Mojave Desert where gusts to around 25KT will continue
intermittently through the night. South to southwest winds return
Thursday afternoon with gusts 20-25KT across the region through 03z
with winds then decreasing to less than 10KT overnight.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Stessman
AVIATION...Nickerson
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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion