Askey Cemetery Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

409
FXUS64 KEWX 140600
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
100 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonable morning and warm afternoon temperatures continue
  through early next week.
- Weak cold front brings low chances (10-20%) for rain this
  weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Upper level high pressure is currently centered over South Central
TX while the surface high has shifted slightly to the east over
southern Louisiana. Southeasterly flow should continue resulting in
an advection of slightly more moisture for our area that is
currently located over the Gulf. Though moisture increases we should
still see another cool morning for Tuesday. However, lows should be
a touch warmer than yesterday morning with mainly lower 60s east to
near 70 west across the Rio Grande Plains. Highs are expected to be
similar to Mondays and maybe a few degrees warmer with many areas
reaching the lower 90s. Expect a near repeat for Wednesday`s
forecast as high pressure slowly pushes off to the east allowing for
continued southeasterly flow that eventually becomes predominantly
out of the east once the surface high slowly moves away from our
area.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
The upper level ridge continues to remain nearby through the week
centering over or just east of our area. Global models continue to
remain in great agreement indicating this high shunting all
disturbances to our north and west keeping us dry for the week.
There remains just a very low chance of showers for Thursday and
Friday across the Coastal Plains however most locations will remain
dry. Well above normal high temperatures should continue into this
week with highs expected to approach and/or exceed 90 degrees.
Things get a little bit murkier for this weekend as Global models
have started to back off on our rain chances for our area as a weak
cold front tries to make its way into our region from the north.
Depending on how much forcing and how far south the front makes it
will really dictate weather we see some rain or none at all. This is
still quite a few days out so things can and likely will change.
However, for now our pattern of warmer afternoon highs and cooler
mornings looks to continue through the work week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Lower level moisture profiles show potential for MVFR CIGS going
into Tuesday morning. HREF probabilities of 40-80% favor the Hill
Country and Edwards Plateau, including KDRT with less than 20% at
the I-35 sites. Have maintained the CIGS at KDRT and FEW-SCT at the
I-35 sites. Otherwise, VFR flying through this forecast. E to SE
winds of 5 to 15 KTs will prevail with the higher speeds at KDRT.
However, light and VRBL is expected at the I-35 sites early morning
and overnight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              93  64  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  92  62  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     92  62  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            89  62  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           90  70  91  66 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        91  61  90  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             90  62  91  62 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        93  61  93  60 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   92  61  92  61 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       91  65  91  65 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           93  65  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CJM
LONG TERM....CJM
AVIATION...04

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion