249 FXUS62 KFFC 151029 AFDFFCArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 629 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 627 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
- Dry conditions continue with no rainfall expected the rest of the work week.
- Rain and thunderstorms possible on Sunday, mostly in far northwest Georgia. Precipitation amounts unlikely to make a significant difference in drought conditions with the luckiest getting 0.5-1.0" of rainfall.
- Temperatures remain warm through the weekend, with a cool off early next week.
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.SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 627 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Ridging and high pressure will continue to be the main story for the short term with dry and sunny conditions expected through mid to late week. A high pressure center will further settle into the southeast over today and tomorrow which will further enhance the already dry and warming conditions. With the pattern dominated by high pressure and little to no cloud cover temps will easily warm to the low to mid 80s today at ~10 degrees above normal. Tomorrow will see much of the same weather with temps in the low 80s (~10 degrees above normal) and clear skies. Morning temps in the mid to upper 50s are forecast for the next two mornings which is still ~5 degrees above normal.
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.LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 627 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Not much change in the forecast Thursday and Friday. Highs near 80 with dry conditions. The cutoff low traversing around the southern side of the ridge will get pulled into the meridional flow, dragging some moisture with it. At this time, models seem to be preferring a faster moving system which brings the low through before our next weather maker.
Saturday and Sunday brings a substantial trough across the central CONUS, likely bringing a decent cold front with it through the mid Mississippi valley. That said, impact to the area will likely be brief as the trough begins to lift as the base moves through the southeast and the front weakens. Showers and thunderstorms are likely along the front on Sunday morning into the afternoon. The greatest chances for any notable rainfall amounts will be in northwest GA where the front is strongest. As the forcing moves east across the state though, support will begin to weaken and thunderstorm coverage will drop with it. That said, afternoon heating may be possible in more clear areas which could bring a few scattered thunderstorms down into central Georgia. Rainfall totals currently look to be around 0.5" in northwest Georgia and less than 0.25" in central Georgia. Far northwest Georgia may be the luckiest with up to a full inch of rain through Monday morning. No matter the outcome, precipitation is unlikely to make much headway in drought conditions.
Post frontal conditions early next week will likely be unimpressive. Temperatures could rebound back to above normal (near 80) alongside weak ridging.
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 627 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Another SKC day today with winds being the main reason for multiple lines. NE winds will turn to the NW ~18z where they will stay until switching back to the NE ~07z. All speeds are at 7kt or less.
//ATL Confidence...12Z Update... High confidence on all elements.
Hernandez
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 80 56 77 51 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 83 60 80 57 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 77 51 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 83 55 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 86 58 85 58 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 81 57 78 53 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 83 56 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 85 57 84 54 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 83 55 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 83 58 82 53 / 0 0 0 0
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.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Hernandez LONG TERM....SM AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion