Autaugaville, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

399
FXUS64 KBMX 080002
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
702 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1159 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
GOES TPW imagery shows a large area of much drier air pushing across
the area. PWATs currently range from 0.50" across our northwestern
areas to 1.5" over our far southeastern counties. This influx of dry
air will keep us dry through the short term (and really over the
next week). Winds will pick up a bit through early this afternoon in
the wake of the cold front. Gusts will generally be up to 20 MPH
with a low chance of gusts over 25 MPH.
Temperatures will be rather pleasant over the next couple of days
with highs in the low to mid 80s with lows ranging from the mid 50s
to the low 60s.
95/Castillo
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1159 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
No changes needed with this long term forecast update. We will see
very low rain chances across our southern counties early in the work
week as we see a slight uptick in moisture as a weak trough hovers
aloft. Upper level ridging is on track to build in by the middle of
the work week.
95/Castillo
Previous long-term discussion:
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1036 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025
Guidance continues to indicate a rain free pattern for the extended.
The Gulf Coast front should continue further SWD through the week
with E Conus surface ridging expected to continue. In the upper
levels, weak troughing will be present across the Deep South, but
with only meager moisture available. Any precip will likely remain
to the S of C AL. For the second half of the week, upper ridging
spreads across the Central US from W TX with weak NRLY flow into AL
and dry conditions. High temperatures slowly moderate upward through
the extended. While lows should increase some for Monday night,
overall lows should remain steady through the rest week and be a
little below normal for early/mid Sept.
08
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 701 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
VFR TAFs are expected for the next 24 hours with surface ridging
in place across much of the ERN half of Conus. Look for NRLY winds
tonight becoming NE-ENE during the day on Mon around the ridge.
Minimal cloud cover is anticipated tonight. Some cirrus moves in
on Mon.
08
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Rain free weather is forecast to prevail across Central Alabama
for the most part through next week. While drier, post-frontal
air will overspread the region, afternoon minimum RHs are
currently forecast to average above critical thresholds. However,
if dew points trend slightly lower mid to late week, RHs could
bottom out just below currently forecast minimums in the lower
30s. 20 foot winds will be northerly around 10 mph on Sunday and
then northeast to east between 5-10 mph Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     58  84  60  84 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    59  82  61  83 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  60  84  64  86 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  59  86  65  88 /   0   0   0  10
Calera      60  85  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      64  82  64  83 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  60  87  66  86 /   0   0   0  10
Troy        63  85  65  84 /   0  10   0  10
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...95/Castillo
LONG TERM....95/Castillo/08
AVIATION...08

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion