Bank Of America Stadium North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

315
FXUS62 KGSP 121800
AFDGSP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal low will slowly drift north along the East Coast through
the first half of the week. This low will then drift offshore
by midweek, as dry high pressure builds in from the west and
brings above normal temperatures to our region.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 130 pm EDT Sunday: Coastal cyclone is progged to translate
north along the NC coast through tonight, with the accompanying
loosening of the sfc pressure gradient and diminishing deeper
moisture atop the western Carolinas.  Scattered showers/patches of
light rain along and east of I-77 will gradually ash out into early
evening with residual piedmont/foothill low cloudiness within
the ongoing NE flow hanging on into the night. With cloudiness
struggling to developing west of the southern Blue Ridge,
locally dense NC mtn valley fog is expected to develop by early
Sunday morning. Expect continued weakening/backing of the mean
flow atop the Southern Appalachians on Monday. Within the deep
layered dry air, sunshine is on tap with afternoon maximums a
few deg F above climo.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 1230 PM Sunday: Quiet weather is expected for the short term,
as the coastal low slowly drifts east offshore and warm and dry
high pressure builds into the region from the west. Skies should
be clear to mostly clear thru the period, with some potential for
mountain valley fog both nights. Temps will be about 5-10 degrees
above normal. Lows mainly in the mid to upper 40s in the mountains
and lower to mid 50s in the Piedmont. Highs in the mid 60s to mid
70s in the mountains and upper 70s to lower 80s in the Piedmont.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1245 PM Sunday: The upper pattern be very amplified at the
start of the medium range, with deep trough over the Intermountain
West, a ridge over the Mississippi Valley and a digging upper
low over New England. The models are in good agreement that a dry
backdoor cold front will slip thru the forecast area Wednesday. This
will usher in slightly cooler temps for Thursday and Friday. Little
to no cloud cover looks to continue, with temps close to normal. A
slight rebound in temps is expected Saturday as the upper ridge axis
begins to shift east to the East Coast. Low level flow will turn
out of the SW and a front will approach from the west. The front
may bring moisture back to the forecast area by Sunday, but the
12z deterministic guidance remains in disagreement on the timing
and amount of moisture tap out of the Gulf. The latest National
Blend of Models has 30-40% PoPs in the mountains and slight chc
(15-25%) for most of the Piedmont on Sunday. Highs back into the
upper 70s to near 80 in the Piedmont, and lows mainly in the 50s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
At KCLT: Patches of light rain will continue floating by the
terminal until near sunset as gusty NNE winds continue.  Moist layer
around 85H is progged to linger into tonight, so MVFR cigs will
likely hang on until some point overnight thanks to a slowly
thinning llvl moisture profile.  Sunshine will eventually return on
Monday along with a loosening sfc pressure gradient with the
storm center pulling away from the NC coast.
At the other TAF sites: Save for KHKY, which will remain under the
gun for MVFR cig development, VFR conditions will continue into this
evening as locally gusty NNE winds diminish.  With nearly clear
skies and light winds, the latest guidance continues to advertise
locally dense mountain valley fog developing early Monday morning.
Based on this, have trended the KAVL terminal to a more IFR
fcst.
Outlook: VFR conditions are expected to return region-wide
on Monday and persist thru at least the middle of next week,
although there will be some potential for mountain valley low
stratus and/or fog each morning.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...CSH
SHORT TERM...ARK
LONG TERM...ARK
AVIATION...CSH

NWS GSP Office Area Forecast Discussion