848 FXUS62 KFFC 131802 AFDFFCArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 202 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 139 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
- Fair weather and a gradual warming trend in temperatures is expected this week.
- Dry conditions continue with a only low chance for light rain occurring late this weekend.
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.SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 139 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Dry, warm, and mostly sunny conditions continue across North and Central Georgia. This pattern is being driven by deep northerly flow over the state, as it sits between high pressure and ridging over the Central U.S., and stacked low pressure off the Atlantic Coast. Between the arid airmass (PWAT values of 0.5-0.75") and subsidence from the ridging, cloud cover will be minimized outside of some afternoon cumulus. Under the mostly sunny skies, high temperatures will reach the upper 70s to low 80s today, with overnight lows falling to the low to mid 50s tonight. The airmass will warm some on Tuesday as the ridge moves a bit closer, with highs climbing to the low to mid 80s. In the mountains of north GA, temps will be about 5-10 degrees cooler than just mentioned.
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.LONG TERM... (Wednesday morning through next Sunday) Issued at 139 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
A mid-level ridge will be in place across the MS Valley and extending into the Southeast from Wednesday to Saturday. This set up will favor the continuation of warm and mostly dry weather across North and Central Georgia. Daytime highs will range from the upper 70s to the mid 80s through the period. Expect temperatures to be 5- 10 degrees cooler in the northeast GA mountains. Overnight temperatures remain on the cooler side with values in the 50s and 40s in the mountains. There remains a potential for rain sometime late next weekend, as a trough and associated low pressure system sweeps across the Plains towards the Southeast. Latest guidance suggest the amplification of the trough to the west resulting in the breakdown of the midlevel ridge. Though how much strengthening occurs and the impact it will have on the ridge in place are the current questions. Similar to the previous forecast, current thinking is any meaningful precipitation (greater than an inch) remains unlikely. Additionally, this far out there are still a few inconsistencies as far as timing and evolution of this next system. In the meantime, anticipate drought conditions to remain the same or worsen.
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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 139 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
VFR conditions will persist through the 18Z TAF period across the area with FEW-SCT daytime Cu at 4-6kft. Winds will generally be NW at 5-9kts through Tuesday, with a brief period of N-NE winds at ATL from 13-22Z Tuesday.
//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on wind direction and timing. High confidence on other elements.
Culver
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 55 81 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 58 83 58 82 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 48 76 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 54 81 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 57 85 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 56 82 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 56 83 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 56 83 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 54 83 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 59 83 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
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.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Culver LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...Culver
NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion