Bates Cemetery Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

121
FXUS64 KMRX 131739
AFDMRX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
139 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 137 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
- Seasonable temperatures and dry weather are expected this week.
- Rain chances will return over the weekend with a system
  approaching from the west.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 137 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Not much has changed with the expected pattern and the forecast
for this week, as we will remain in a dry N-NW flow through much
of the week as a high amplitude ridge will be over the Plains and
MS Valley. But things could get interesting early next week.
Tonight, fog is expected to develop in sheltered valleys and near
bodies of water with the clear/calm conditions. Another couple
daysof slightly above normal temperatures can be expected
tomorrow and Wednesday. Temperatures could be a little cooler and
dewpoints a little lower on Thursday and Friday, mainly in NE
sections for morning lows, as high pressure over Ontario today
drops southward to the Mid Atlantic region by Friday morning.
The pattern shifts over the weekend as the surface high moves to the
NC/SC coast and the mid/upper ridge shifts east of the Appalachians.
This will bring a warmer and more moist air mass to the region
starting Saturday, with rain chances rising on Sunday ahead of an
approaching cold front. The ECMWF`s depiction of a deep,
negatively tilted trough and coupled jet structure grabs our
attention for the potential for thunderstorms and strong/severe
storms. Will keep an eye on this in the coming days, as it will be
dependent on how much low level moisture and instability can be
drawn from the Gulf ahead of the cold front.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 137 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Fog at TRI is again the main concern for the TAFs today. This
morning, cloud cover prevented fog development, but that is not
expected to be present tonight. So the TRI TAF will carry a TEMPO
for LIFR visibility for a few hours toward sunrise.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             57  80  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  52  77  52  78 /   0   0   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       53  77  51  78 /   0   0   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              47  73  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...DGS
AVIATION...DGS

NWS MRX Office Area Forecast Discussion