Blue Goose Pond Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

977
FXUS64 KLIX 132022
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
322 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 316 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
- Warm with no rain chances most of the week.
- Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms possible next
   weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 316 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Benign weather continues for most of the week as broad upper level
ridge generally remains centered across the Gulf South. The main
effects from this high is lack of rain via strong subsidence and
above normal temps. Current forecast keeps does not re-introduce
rain chances through Friday, though could get some light showers
coming in from the south along coastal areas late Friday. For those
temps, mid/upper 80s each day. At least it`ll be cool at night and
lower dewpoints keep humidity levels down.
MEFFER
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday night)
Issued at 316 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
The upper level ridge that has been and will be dominating the
forecast regime finally breaks down while shifting east Friday.
Global models in decent agreement that a deep longwave trough will
track across the mid section of the country, moving across the
entire Mississippi Valley this weekend. Associated cold front along
with some moisture return to at least bring the chance for scattered
showers across the CWA. Should be cautioned that often times in the
fall, global models `oversell` how much QPF we`ll see locally this
far out. As the event approaches, they gradually show less and less
rain...to the point where its isolated/scattered at best. Thus, am
quite onboard with NBM output of 30 POPs in the forecast for next
weekend.
MEFFER
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 316 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
VFR conditions will prevail as strong high pressure aloft stunts
rain chances and keeps winds light/variable.
MEFFER
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 316 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Northerly offshore flow will persist today through early/mid-week
thanks to high pressure over the eastern US and a developing low off
the Carolina coast. This will keep conditions benign with light
waves/seas and winds, as well as dry conditions. East to east-
southeast flow does pick up some mid/late week, ranging 10 to 15
knots but will remain low impact and mainly dry into next weekend.
MEFFER
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  57  84  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  58  87  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  53  85  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  64  86  67  86 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  58  85  62  85 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  53  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...ME
LONG TERM....ME
AVIATION...ME
MARINE...ME

NWS LIX Office Area Forecast Discussion