Bonaire, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

105
FXUS62 KFFC 031837
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
237 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 217 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
- Dry conditions will persist through Saturday amid seasonal
      temperatures and an easterly breeze.
- A surge of tropical moisture will bring rain chances to
      Georgia between Sunday afternoon and Wednesday, but overall,
      rainfall is not expected to improve the drought conditions.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 217 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Typical weather for October -- dry with mild temperatures -- will
continue through tomorrow (Saturday). The main change with this
forecast package was to blend in the latest ARW guidance (hi-res)
with the NBM guidance. Overall, this has nudged dewpoints down a
couple degrees today, tonight, and tomorrow. Still, relative
humidity will remain above the threshold for a Fire Danger
Statement (25% or lower). Winds and gusts will also remain below
thresholds.
Moisture will increase from southeast to northwest tonight
through tomorrow as an easterly wave (best visualized at 850 mb)
approaches and tracks across Florida. A mid-/upper-level ridge
will remain prominent over the Tennessee Valley and Appalachians,
so expect that precipitation associated with the wave will be
confined to the far southern tier of the forecast area.
Additionally, relatively warm air aloft due to the
ridge/subsidence will hinder instability, so not expecting
thunderstorms. Rainfall totals with showers will not amount to
much -- ranging from a trace (~0.01 inch) to ~0.10 inch.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 217 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Long term outlook begins with a wave of moisture out of the
Atlantic side of the tropics Sunday and Monday. Longer range
models indicate PWATs surging near the 75th percentile
climatologically. Instability will be very limited with the upper
level ridging pattern. NBM ensemble guidance indicates maximum
CAPE values (located in SE CWA) have ~50% chance of being 

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion