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Broadwater, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

182
FXUS65 KCYS 060807
AFDCYS

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 207 AM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of Carbon, Albany, and Converse Counties from midnight tonight to 9am Tuesday.

- Cloudy day expected Monday with clouds slowly clearing early Tuesday morning.

- Warmer, drier conditions return mid-week.

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.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 207 AM MDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Cold and wet out there tonight with showers continuing to develop and move northeastern from Cheyenne towards Alliance and Chadron. On and off showers should continue through the overnight hours as easterly and southeasterly flow keep upslope ongoing. Temperatures have dropped well into the mid-30s to mid-40s across the entire area. The I-80 Summit is socked in with fog this morning after snow showers finally moved off and became rain further downstream. Low clouds are present everywhere, leading to a fairly cold and dreary night with welcomed precipitation.

The upper-level trough will slowly drag across the region today, leading to most cloudy skies, continued precipitation chances, and much cooler temperatures. Cloudy skies are expected to remain overhead throughout the day today, with most locations likely not seeing the sun until sunrise Tuesday. Precipitation chances will slowly taper off throughout the day today as the upper-level trough responsible for the cold, cloudy, and wet conditions moves off to the east. Behind this trough, an upper-level ridge is building and slowly moving eastward. This ridge should impact the region Tuesday, leading to clearing skies, dry conditions, and warmer temperatures. 700mb temperatures are expected to increase into the 3 to 5C range by late Tuesday, leading to daytime highs in the 50s and 60s, much warmer than the 40s and 50s expected Monday.

However, before temperatures can increase across the region, another cool night is expected. The ridge will act to clear skies Monday night into Tuesday morning, leading to enhanced radiational cooling overnight. As a result, temperatures are expected to plummet into the 20s and 30s west of the Laramie Range and 30s east of the Laramie Range. With light winds overnight, portions of Carbon County, Converse County, and Albany County will see temperatures dropping into the 25 to 32F range. As a result, upgraded the Freeze Watch to a Freeze Warning for those areas. The Freeze Watch is in effect from midnight tonight through 9am Tuesday.

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.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 319 PM MDT Sun Oct 5 2025

A ridge starts to build into the Intermountain West Tuesday into Wednesday. This ridge will increase 700mb temperatures into the 5 to 7C range which will translate our high temperatures raising into the 60`s and 70`s. There is a weak shortwave that pushes through the Intermountain West however it looks like the stronger vorticity stream will just be to north of the Southeast Wyoming area. So our region looks to stay dry Wednesday. The ridge strengthens behind the weak shortwave so Thursday and Friday will remain in the 60`s and 70`s. Overnight temperatures look to remain in the 30`s and 40`s for the long term period a clear signal that winter will be here soon. Another trough pushes into the Intermountain West from the Pacific Northwest this weekend. This looks to increase the rain chances starting Saturday afternoon and lasting through the weekend. 700mb temperatures range from 3 to 10c giving us warmer temperatures into the overnight period (40`s/50`s) and potentially some 80 degree days into the Nebraska Panhandle.

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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1130 PM MDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Upper level trough axis will slowly push through the area Monday, with much cooler than normal conditions and light to occasionally moderate rainfall early this morning. Low stratus is expected to linger across the area through Monday afternoon with some clearing expected after 00z Tuesday.

HAZARDS/WEATHER TRENDS: Generally MVFR CIGS and VIS in light to occasionally moderate rainfall across southeast Wyoming and western Nebraska. KLAR and KCYS will see periods of IFR conditions and low CIGS with maybe some fog developing after 09z until 15z. Conditions won`t improve much after sunrise, with low CIGS expected through Monday afternoon. KRWL will be the first to clear out by 21z, with KCYS likely lingering through 03z Tuesday.

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.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WY...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM MDT Tuesday for WYZ101-104-110-111. NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AM LONG TERM...MM AVIATION...TJT

NWS CYS Office Area Forecast Discussion

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