Bryant Pond Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

847
FXUS64 KMOB 151113
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 609 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
- Dry conditions will persist through Friday, with above normal
   high temperatures.
- There is a medium (40-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
   this weekend.
- The risk of life-threatening rip currents will increase on
   Friday, with a high risk on Saturday and Sunday. Before
   heading to beach, check the local conditions and follow the
   posted beach warning flags.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
An upper ridge over our region will break down on Friday as a
large positively-tiled upper trough extending from the northern
Great Plains to off the coast of southern California shifts
eastward. The southern portion of the upper trough outraces to the
northern portion Friday night and Saturday, and becomes neutral
to slightly negatively-tilted as the axis crosses over the
Mississippi River early Sunday morning. The dry weather conditions
will persist through noon Saturday, followed by isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and
evening, and then scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
late Saturday night and Sunday ahead of a cold front approaching
from the northwest. Dry weather conditions will then follow Sunday
night into midweek in the wake of the cold front. At this time,
we are not expecting any severe storms, but are anticipating
around six-tenths to 1.2 inches of much needed widespread rainfall
with this system. Locally higher amounts are certainly possible.
High temperatures today and Thursday will range from 85-90 degrees
(around 6-11 degrees above normal) before cooling slightly Friday
and Saturday, and then into the lower to middle 80s on Sunday due
to increasing cloud cover and rain chances. Low temperatures
tonight will range from 57 to 61 degrees inland and from 62 to 67
degrees along the immediate coast. Lows will trend warmer through
the remainder of the week, and be around 12-17 degrees above
normal Saturday night (middle to upper 60s inland and around 70
degrees along the immediate coast) due to a good fetch of
southerly winds. Lows will then drop into the 50s Sunday night and
Monday night behind the cold front.
Beach Forecast: The LOW rip current risk will persist through
Thursday night. Increasing low level southeasterly flow across the
region will help increase the rip current risk by the weekend
across our local beaches, with a Moderate risk returning on Friday
and a High risk of rip currents over the weekend. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. /73
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Small craft exercise caution conditions are possible over the
weekend as a cold front approaches and passes through the area.
Overall, a light mainly southeasterly flow develops Thursday
afternoon, with winds gradually increasing Friday into Saturday
along with building seas. A light to moderate southeasterly flow
to start the weekend will shift southerly and then southwesterly
going into Sunday ahead of a cold front approaching from the
northwest, and then northerly Sunday evening as the cold front
passes through the area. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      86  61  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   84  65  85  67 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      85  67  84  68 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   90  57  91  59 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  86  57  88  58 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      88  58  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   88  57  89  59 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$

NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion