Buck Cemetery, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

849
FXUS64 KOHX 250358
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1058 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1050 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
- Medium to high rain and thunderstorm chances through Thursday.
  Storms will produce heavy rain with a low chance of localized
  minor flooding.
- Low rain chances for the eastern third of the area over the
  weekend. Most of the area will be dry.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday Night)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Showers and storms continue this evening with a focus in the
northwest which is in the vicinity of an elongated, weak surface low
ahead of the positive-tilted upper trough. The surface front will
begin to move into the western portion of the area around dawn and
progress eastward through the afternoon hours. Scattered showers and
storms will continue to be possible even after the surface front
moves through as the upper trough lags behind. The moisture doesn`t
look as rich on Thursday compared to Tuesday and Wednesday. PWAT
values will be in the 1.4-1.7" range. CAMs do show some pockets of 1-
2" rainfall totals through Thursday evening, but we should be able
to handle this without any major flooding issues.
As the trough axis approaches the area, some energy will be
cutoff and left behind. Where this happens is still a little
uncertain. It will be close enough to the area to continue the low
chance of showers for the plateau on Friday. Football games Friday
night should not be a washout for those on the plateau as any
showers around will decrease after sunset.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
The low rain chances will continue through the weekend as some
upper level energy remains in the region. As we move
into next week, eyes will be in the Atlantic as two potential
tropical systems begin their northern track into the mid latitudes.
Some of the moisture from the tropical systems might be bled into
our eastern half of the area producing some low rain chances.
Otherwise, once we get through Thursday evening, the majority of the
area looks like it will be dry through the rest of the forecast.
Conditions will be comfortable on Friday and Saturday with lows in
the 50s and highs in the mid 70s to low 80s. As we get to Sunday
and into next week, temperatures look to be a couple degrees above
normal to end September with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Isolated showers are developing out ahead of what could be a
second wave of rain with embedded thunderstorms. Instability is
lacking this evening, so uncertainty remains if any storms will
be able to develop. MVFR cigs are moving in from the west with a
further category degradation to IFR overnight. A lift back to
MVFR looks to occur sometime in the morning.
Winds remain southerly through tonight near 10 kts. A gradual wind
shift will occur as the front approaches with winds eventually
turning out of the NW near 18Z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      84  69  82  63 /  60  70  60  20
Clarksville    84  67  80  59 /  80  90  50  10
Crossville     76  65  74  60 /  70  70  70  30
Columbia       83  68  81  61 /  70  70  60  30
Cookeville     79  66  77  62 /  70  80  60  30
Jamestown      78  65  75  61 /  70  70  70  20
Lawrenceburg   82  67  80  61 /  80  70  60  30
Murfreesboro   83  68  81  63 /  70  70  60  30
Waverly        82  65  78  57 /  80  70  50  20
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Baggett

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion