Buford, Wyoming Weather Forecast Discussion

816
FXUS65 KCYS 251105
AFDCYS
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
505 AM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An upper-level ridge keeps the region drier today through the
  weekend with temperatures warming back into the 70s and 80s.
- Gusty winds are expected in the wind-prone regions on Friday,
  but will remain below High Wind criteria.
- Elevated fire weather concerns arrive Friday with the gusty
  winds.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 145 AM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Clear skies are ongoing across southeast Wyoming and western
Nebraska tonight with mostly light and variable winds. Temperatures
have dropped into the low-40s to low-50s across the region and will
continue to drop a few more degrees over the next several hours.
Clear skies will continue for the remainder of the night.
Mostly quiet weather expected today and Friday as an upper-level
ridge moves overhead and northeasterly winds aloft slowly shift more
westerly by Friday afternoon. The Omega Block shape to the upper-
level flow remains, but the eastern branch of the "block" will be
able to propagate easterly and eliminate the threat of a true Omega
Block. With the ridge firmly in place, temperatures will continue to
warm through the end of the week with quiet weather in place. Clear
skies and light winds are expected today, while mostly clear skies
with gustier winds are expected for Friday. An upper-level trough
will propagate towards the region Friday morning, leading to a
return of southwesterly winds aloft. Ample 500mb cyclonic vorticity
advection will enable the trough to quickly push through and dry
conditions leading up to this system will prevent any significant
precipitation chances Friday into Saturday. Further down at 700mb, a
more favorable gusty wind set up is expected to develop as the upper-
level trough pushes through. The base of the 700mb trough will
traverse just to the north of the CWA, leading to a stronger
westerly component to the 700mb winds. Additionally, with
strengthened height gradients resulting from the passing trough, a
meager, 30 to 35kt 700mb jet will develop with a strong westerly
component. GFS Omega fields for Friday afternoon suggest a stronger
downward motion across the Laramie Range, leading to increasing
confidence in gusty winds developing in the typical wind-prone
regions on Friday. The gusty winds are expected to only gust to
around 40mph. High Wind criteria wind gusts, 58mph or greater, are
not expected, but gusty conditions will be present in the morning to
early afternoon hours before subsiding.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 211 PM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Pretty benign weather to start the long term with an upper level
ridge dominating conditions across the CWA. Dry conditions coupled
with warming temperatures, 700mb temperatures in the 9 to 10C range,
will bring a nice Friday and Saturday to the region. Expect surface
temperatures to climb into the 70s west of I-25 and soar into the
low to mid 80s east of the corridor, with the warmest temperature
across the Nebraska Panhandle. Elsewhere, an upper level trough will
sweep across Canada Friday and Saturday while a trough digs into
southern California. The trough over California will begin to push
into our neck of the woods this Sunday, increasing moisture and the
threat of precipitation primarily across our western zones which
will continue into Monday. This will also bring cooler temperatures
back into the region by early next week. The northern system will
compress the ridge, increasing the gradient and winds across the
CWA. At the tail end of the long term, models are indicating a
pretty stout trough moving into the West Coast, which could affect
our weather for the latter part of next week into next weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 505 AM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Light and variable winds expected for most of the area today. KCYS
will see increased winds early this morning before returning to
light and variable by 20Z. Clear skies expected everywhere.
&&
.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...None.
NE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...AM
LONG TERM...RZ
AVIATION...AM

NWS CYS Office Area Forecast Discussion