242 FXUS64 KMRX 102308 AAA AFDMRXArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Morristown TN 708 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 705 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
- Fall-like, cool temperatures and dry weather expected through this weekend into next week. A slight warming trend next week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 113 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Northerly flow aloft and surface high pressure continue to keep us mostly clear and cooler this evening and into the weekend. A gradual warming trend commences as upper-level ridging increases across the Lower Mississippi Valley. This will continue to limit overall boundary layer moisture and keep precipitation chances near zero into next week. A quick moving cold front may bring some low precipitation chances to the area late next week, but at this time, precipitation chances remain very low because of limited moisture ahead of the front and questions with the location and timing of the front.
For now, mostly clear conditions, seasonal temperatures, and dry weather continue for most, if not all, of the upcoming 7 days.
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
A mention of fog will be added to the TRI TAF as some model guidance is trending in that direction. Clear/calm conditions and rapid cooling after sunset should lead to fog in valleys, near lakes, and fog-prone locations like TRI. VLIFR conditions are possible, but will mention LIFR for now in a TEMPO given the uncertainty.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 53 77 51 78 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 49 74 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 49 74 49 76 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 44 72 47 73 / 0 0 10 10
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.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. &&
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DISCUSSION...99 AVIATION...DGS
NWS MRX Office Area Forecast Discussion