Candlewood Lake Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

172
FXUS64 KMEG 101729
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1229 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1120 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
- Pleasant, near-normal temperatures will continue through
  Saturday under clear skies.
- Temperatures will warm a few degrees early next week as an upper
  level ridge pushes into the region.
- Dry conditions are expected to persist through the next seven days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Thursday)
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
The Mid-South sits in a triple-point of synoptic features defined
by an anomalous ridge to our west, a deep upper level low over
the northern Great Lakes, and a separate upper low centered over
Georgia. As a result, the region remains in northwest flow aloft
with a decaying MCS pushing southeast across Missouri. A few CAMs
depict spotty showers making it as far south as Jonesboro, AR this
evening before completely dying off. Given a relatively dry
column of air aloft, any precipitation that does fall will likely
not make it to the surface. Otherwise, expect clear skies and
highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
A messy synoptic pattern will persist into early next week with
the aforementioned low over Georgia forming into an early season
nor`easter. As this system pulls north, the ridge out west will
finally have a path into the Mid-South. Expect temperatures next
week to warm a few degrees with highs in the low to mid 80s by
Tuesday.
Ensemble forecasts suggest a cooler than anticipated
forecast for the middle of next week as a shortwave and attendant
cold front push into the Great Lakes Region. This boundary will
sink further south than originally forecast, meaning the Mid-South
will see near-normal temperatures with highs in the upper 70s to
lower 80s. No significant signal for precipitation is noted over
the next week or so, likely leading to deteriorating drought
conditions for the middle of October.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR. Broad surface high pressure will result in mostly clear
skies and light and variable winds throughout the period.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Fire weather concerns remain low this period as MinRH above 40
percent and light 20ft winds prevail. The one thing to watch as we
move into next week will be fuel moisture as dry conditions
persist.
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...AC3

NWS MEG Office Area Forecast Discussion