Cedar Bluff, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

742
FXUS64 KBMX 050120
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
820 PM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2025
Water vapor imagery early this afternoon depicts an upper level
trough stretching from the Great Lakes region down to the
Southeast. At the surface, a cold front can be analyzed to our
northwest across northern Tennessee into eastern Arkansas. As of
writing, a couple lingering showers can be seen moving across
east-central Alabama. This activity is leftover from a couple
rogue showers and storms that developed this morning. While most
locations will remain dry through the day, there is a low chance
for isolated showers and storms across our northern areas as a
shortwave rotates around the base of the trough. Friday looks to
remain dry for most of the day. Rain chances begin to increase
during the evening and overnight hours as the aforementioned cold
front begins to move south across the state.
Friday looks to be our warmest day with temps climbing into the low
to mid 90s across the region. A "cool down" is in store over the
weekend as much drier air filters in behind the front.
95/Castillo
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2025
Not many changes needed with this long term forecast update. The
front looks to work its way into the state late Friday, pushing
south through the day Saturday. Continued with a 30-40% chance of
showers and thunderstorms. In the wake of the front, much drier air
will move across the state with PWATs falling below 1". This will
help keep us dry Sunday through much of next week. Ensembles want to
dry to bring moisture back by the middle of next week but without
any forcing, kept the forecast dry. Temps through the long term
remain pretty steady with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.
95/Castillo
Previous long-term discussion:
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1240 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2025
The front will attempt to work into Central Alabama Friday night
into Saturday afternoon. Without a ton of moisture to work with,
widespread rainfall appears unlikely with the front at this time.
However, rain chances have increased to 30-40% across northern and
central counties Saturday afternoon and coverage appears more than
this time last night. Saturday will still feature highs in the low
to mid 90s across southern and southeastern counties ahead of the
front before Central Alabama sees the return of low to mid 80s in
most areas Sunday and beyond. Additional rain chances appear
possible during next week across southeastern counties, however
confidence is currently low.
12
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 802 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2025
TAF sites are expected to be generally VFR for the next 24 hours.
The exception may be at TCL. Put in a TEMPO 10-13z for some
patchy fog possible. This should be fairly isolated in nature.
Otherwise, winds will be generally light/variable overnight and
SW-S 6-8kts with mixing during the day Fri.
08
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Min RH values will range from 40-50% this afternoon and 30-45%
Friday afternoon across Central Alabama, with chances for isolated
to scattered showers across northern and central portions of the
area through this afternoon. Moisture values will remain relatively
steady for the next few days, and will be above critical thresholds.
20ft winds will be west-southwest up to 5-7 mph today and Friday.
There are no fire weather concerns at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     66  93  69  89 /  10  10  20  40
Anniston    68  92  70  89 /  10  10  10  30
Birmingham  71  94  72  89 /  10   0  20  40
Tuscaloosa  71  95  73  90 /   0   0  10  30
Calera      70  95  72  91 /   0   0  10  30
Auburn      69  92  71  90 /   0   0   0  10
Montgomery  70  95  71  92 /   0   0   0  10
Troy        68  93  70  91 /   0   0   0  10
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...95/Castillo
LONG TERM....95/Castillo/12
AVIATION...08

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion