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Center Star Cemetery Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

626
FXUS64 KOHX 110514
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1214 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

- Dry conditions continue through next week

- Gradual warming trend with highs back into the mid 80s next week

- Despite another prolonged dry stretch, afternoon relative humidity values should remain sufficiently high to prevent any fire weather concerns.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday Night) Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Calm conditions persist across Middle TN tonight as a centered area of high pressure sits just off to our northwest. Temperatures will cool into the upper 40s to low 50s overnight with areas of patchy dense fog. The HREF is giving portions of the southern CWA and along the Plateau a 60% to 70% chance of visibility dropping below a 1/2 mile with only pockets of dense fog elsewhere across the CWA. Be cautious of this overnight if have to travel. Saturday`s forecast continues our dry and warm stint with less cloud coverage as the low over the Great Lakes pushes ever so slightly east. Afternoon temperatures will in turn be a touch warmer, near 80 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

The long term synoptic pattern is a busy and progressive one, though Middle TN`s position in it all favors continued dry and warming conditions. A large ridge present over the central US will gradually build east through the week, keeping rain chances near 0% with a gradual warming trend. With northwesterly flow aloft, instances of increased high cloud cover will be likely, most notably mid- week when an upper level disturbance rounds the base of the ridge, moving through the Ohio River Valley. No rain expected with this feature, but a temporary slight decrease in temperature looks to follow it. Overall, temperatures in the long term will be a few degrees above-normal with highs in the low to mid 80s, but not too far off from seasonal norms. For context, the normal high at Nashville for this time of year is 76. With the prolonged period of no rain, this will likely exacerbate ongoing drought conditions.

&&

.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

High pressure will remain over the area through the taf period.

Radiation fog will impact all terminals overnight. BNA will have brief MVFR vsby around daybreak. Elsewhere, mainly MVFR vsbys will mix with episodes of LIFR cigs/vsbys.

After 13Z, all sites will report VFR with northeast winds around 6 kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 79 51 80 51 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 79 49 79 49 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 71 45 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 79 47 78 47 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 74 47 75 47 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 71 46 73 47 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 76 46 77 46 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 78 47 78 47 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 78 50 78 49 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baggett LONG TERM....Baggett AVIATION.....13

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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