745 FXUS64 KJAN 101124 AAA AFDJANArea Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 624 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail through this weekend.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 236 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today and Tonight...
Made a few adjustments to the forecast and lowered dewpoints for this afternoon given the dry airmass across our forecast area. Outside of that minor adjustment, quiet weather conditions will persist across our CWA today. Expect afternoon highs to peak into the low 80s areawide. Quiet conditions will continue heading into the overnight period. Sky conditions will remain generally clear across our forecast area allowing for radiational cooling to occur. This will allow for nighttime lows to dip into the mid/upper 50s.
Saturday through Thursday...
Global guidance continues to show upper ridging building to the west of our area looking into Saturday. The building upper ridge combined with drier air advecting across the southeast CONUS will allow for dry and quiet conditions to persist across our CWA through the weekend.
Regarding the concerns for fire wx, RHs will drop to around 35-40% across much of our forecast area Saturday and Sunday which could cause some low-end fire weather concerns. RHs values will continue to be monitored as we get through the weekend.
Heading into the new work week, the upper ridge axis will shift slightly eastward. This will help maintain the sfc high pressure system across the Deep South. Because of this, dry conditions will continue across our CWA. Temperatures will begin to trend upward looking ahead into the mid week as global guidance still shows surface trajectories taking on a more southerly component. Dry and quiet conditions will continue heading into Friday. /CR/
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 624 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with light wind. /DL/
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 82 57 82 56 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 81 54 82 53 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 82 57 83 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 84 57 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 83 57 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 80 56 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 82 55 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
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.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&
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CR/DL
NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion