Cleveland, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

654
FXUS61 KCLE 251902
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
302 PM EDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
The upper level trough over the Great Lakes region will slowly
departs to the east through Friday. Ridging will begin to build over
the Great Plains as high pressure moves into the region late Friday.
A weak cold front will move through the region on Sunday as high
pressure builds in behind early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
An upper level trough is currently situated over the lower Great
Lakes and extends down into the lower Mississippi Valley. This
feature will progress slowly to the east through Friday dragging a
surface cold front along with it. PoP chances have been decreasing
throughout the day today, though there are a few isolated showers in
eastern Ohio and should expect those to move east this evening.
There will be northwest flow behind the cold front tonight into
Friday morning and with a little lake induced instability, there
will be potential for scattered lake effect showers across the Snow
Belt through midday Friday. High pressure will be building in
throughout the day and drier weather will be expected through the
remainder of the near term. Additionally, with the precipitation
that fell across the region the past couple of days and clearing
this evening, there will be potential for fog for to form across the
region. Most of it will be patchy and confined to lower valleys, but
areas of fog will be possible from I-71 eastward. Temperatures will
warm slightly for Friday with highs in the mid to upper 70s and
overnight lows down into the mid 50s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will move into the region this weekend and quiet
weather is expected through the weekend. An upper level low will be
spinning across the mid-south that will bring in some cloud cover
across parts of the region, but no precipitation is expected with
this. A cold front will be slowly moving through the Great Lakes
region as its parent low pressure system moves into the Hudson Bay
This will stale out to our north and become fairly stationary by
Sunday and we will stay dry due to the lack of moisture in the
region. Temperatures for this weekend will have a slight warming
trend with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and overnight lows in
the mid 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Quiet weather is expected through the long term as high pressure
will stationed over the region for the majority of the long term.
Temperatures to start the week will be in the upper 70s and low 80s.
A cold front to the north may drift south during the middle of the
week and bring in some cooler temperatures but no precipitation.
Temperatures in the later part of the week will be cooler in the low
70s for highs and overnight lows will drop into the upper 40s and
low 50s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
A couple showers remain across the eastern half of the airspace
this afternoon as the main low pressure system and residual
trough continue to depart the region. The fog and low stratus
from this morning has taken several hours to lift and has
largely done so outside of far eastern Ohio. The trend for this
afternoon will be continue lifting and scattering of the lowest
ceilings to some scattered VFR cumulus across the region. For
tonight, clearing conditions with light winds will allow for a
low level inversion to setup with ample near surface moisture.
This will be ideal for more fog and low stratus to form and
with the support of the slow decay of fog and stratus this
morning and various operational guidance, was aggressive in IFR
and LIFR for the TAFs. A drier air mass will enter on Friday
with high pressure entering from the southwest and the Friday
trend will be to clearing and VFR.
Outlook...VFR is expected Friday afternoon through Tuesday.
&&
.MARINE...
A low pressure system and associated surface front will continue
to depart the region and allow for northwest flow to persist on
the lake. Another trough moving through the Great Lakes will
allow for slightly elevated west to northwest flow to continue
on Friday. For Saturday, the lake will be between the trough to
north and a low pressure system moving up the East Coast and
southwest flow will overtake the lake. After that, high
pressure will enter from the west for the second half of the
weekend into next week and light flow will be expected on the
lake with some variable direction depending on lake/land
breezes. No marine hazards are expected at this time.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...23
NEAR TERM...23
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM...23
AVIATION...Sefcovic
MARINE...Sefcovic

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion