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Clewiston, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

446
FXUS62 KMFL 261125
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 725 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 111 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

Mainly clear skies and light winds over the interior early this morning will set up favorable conditions for patchy to areas of fog this morning. Hi-res guidance is picking up on this potential as well. Most likely areas to be impacted are the typical locations along Alligator Alley, along with interior SW FL and areas around the lake. Will monitor this during the early morning hours to see if any headlines will be needed.

Interesting set up the next couple of days with South FL sandwiched between an upper level trough that will start to dig into the Gulf today along with a frontal boundary that will approach the FL panhandle by this evening, and AL94 which has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression late tonight or early this weekend in the vicinity of the central and NW Bahamas. Convection today will be primarily diurnally and sea-breeze driven with scattered storms during the afternoon and early evening hours. Forecast soundings show PWAT values of roughly 1.9-2.1 inches across the region, and with weak steering flows, some isolated urban and poor drainage flooding will be possible across the metro. High temps will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Outside of a few coastal showers/storms overnight, mostly dry conditions with low temps tonight in the lower 70s around the lake to mid and upper 70s over the rest of South FL.

The trough over the Gulf will start to lift to the NNE on Saturday with an upper low trying to form over the SE US. Meanwhile the frontal boundary will try to push southward towards around central FL. At the same time, attention will need to be paid to the Bahamas to see what happens with AL94. With the disturbance expected to be in the vicinity of the Bahamas, expect the low level flow to take on more of a northerly component on Saturday. Diurnally driven storms are expected during the afternoon and early evening hours, with the highest PoPs being over the interior and western portions of the east coast metro. High temps on Saturday will be in the lower 90s.

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.LONG TERM... (Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 111 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

As we hit the end of the weekend and into early next week, the frontal boundary will settle north of Lake Okeechobee before eventually dissipating early to mid next week. Meanwhile, much of the uncertainty regarding the forecast will depend on what happens with AL94. If it develops, most ensemble members keep the center of the system well away from the FL coast, with potentially just some marine and beach hazards locally. However, until the system forms and the models can get a handle on it, there will continue to be plenty of uncertainty. For the time being, the long term forecast won`t stray far from the NBM. Expect northerly flow on Sunday becoming more WNW early next week as the disturbance potentially approaches the SE US. Even without any direct impacts, diurnally driven showers and storms will remain in the forecast each day through the middle of next week.

Temperatures in the extended period will remain slightly above normal with highs ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s, and low temps ranging from the lower 70s around the lake to mid and upper 70s over the rest of the area.

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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 724 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

Light wind this morning will become SE through the day except for a Gulf breeze that will develop at APF. Scattered thunderstorms this afternoon into early evening may result in brief flight restrictions and erratic winds. Short-fused TEMPOs may be needed for sub-VFR.

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.MARINE... Issued at 111 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

Gentle south to southeast breeze over the Atlantic waters becoming more northeasterly on Saturday. West to northwest breeze is expected over the Gulf waters. Seas in both the Atlantic and Gulf waters 2 ft or less through Saturday. Scattered thunderstorms possible which may result in locally hazardous winds and seas.

A tropical wave may become a tropical depression late in the week or over the weekend in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Depending on the location of the system, hazardous winds and seas are possible late in the weekend or early next week in the Atlantic waters. Pay close attention to the forecast over the coming days.

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.BEACHES... Issued at 111 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

Increasing swell due to a potential tropical system that may develop in the vicinity of the Bahamas late this week or into the weekend may result in an elevated risk of rip currents along the Atlantic beaches late in the weekend into early next week.

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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 90 78 91 78 / 40 30 50 30 West Kendall 91 76 92 77 / 40 30 60 30 Opa-Locka 92 78 92 78 / 40 30 50 30 Homestead 90 76 90 77 / 30 30 50 30 Fort Lauderdale 90 77 90 77 / 40 40 50 30 N Ft Lauderdale 90 78 91 78 / 40 40 50 30 Pembroke Pines 93 78 93 78 / 40 30 50 30 West Palm Beach 90 77 90 77 / 40 40 50 30 Boca Raton 92 76 92 76 / 40 40 50 30 Naples 90 77 91 76 / 20 10 30 20

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.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMF LONG TERM....CMF AVIATION...RAG

NWS MFL Office Area Forecast Discussion

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