695 FXUS63 KPAH 070720 CCA AFDPAHArea Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service Paducah KY 220 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Sunny skies and near to slightly below normal temperatures are forecast today into Monday.
- A significant warming trend will begin Tuesday, and temperatures will climb into the lower 90s for the latter half of next week.
- No precipitation is forecast the next seven days, which will lead to a deterioration of ongoing abnormally dry or moderate drought conditions.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 208 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
The surface cold front that brought light rain to the area yesterday has cleared the region, and a secondary 850 mb front will move through the region early today. With temperatures at 850 mb falling to around 7-10C now through Monday, temperatures will stay near to slightly below normal temperatures today and Monday. As H5 ridging increases over the region from the central and southern Great Plains, temperatures will warm back to near normal values on Tuesday. As 850 mb temperatures warm to 16-18C for the latter half of this week, high temperatures will climb into the lower 90s by next Friday and Saturday, about 5 to 10 degrees above normal.
With no mentionable rain forecast for the next week, abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions will likely deteriorate despite Saturday`s light rain. There may also be some elevated fire weather concerns by the end of the week as well, as daily minimum RH values are forecast to fall to the 25-35% range. However, forecast gradient winds will be quite modest (4-8 kts during the afternoon hours at most), which should act as a check on the fire danger concerns.
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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2025
Overnight skies will be SKC to FEW-SCT080, then SKC through the rest of the TAF period. No vsby restrictions expected, though localized ground fog not completely out of the question where rain fell in the last 24 hours. Calm winds overnight will become north at 4-9kts after 15z, then light north to northeast after 00z.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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DISCUSSION...DWS AVIATION...RST
NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion