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College Heights, Colorado Weather Forecast Discussion

599
FXUS65 KGJT 010827
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 227 AM MDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High pressure builds in today, bringing drier conditions and temperatures around 5 degrees above normal.

- Breezy southwesterly winds and temperatures around 10 degrees above normal settle in for Thursday and Friday.

- A low pressure system moves through Friday night into Saturday, bringing cooler and wetter conditions with more widespread wetting rain with some light mountain snow, before conditions dry out again early next week.

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.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 226 AM MDT Wed Oct 1 2025

A few light showers and low level clouds have managed to linger through the night, which has helped keep temperatures a bit more mild. Skies will clear over the next several hours as the shortwave trough swings east of the Divide and ridging builds in. Temperatures will climb another degree or two over yesterday, with highs expected to be around 5 degrees above climatology for early October. Winds will be lighter as well. All in all, an excellent fall day. A quiet and seasonal night will follow.

The ridge continues to build in over the region tomorrow, with the axis just to our east, oriented along a line roughly from New Mexico to Nebraska. At the same time a trough will be strengthening along the West Coast. Eastern Utah and western Colorado will be right in between these two features, with the resulting pressure gradient tightening up aloft. This will result in stronger winds aloft that will mix down to the surface during the afternoon, with gusts of 25- 35 mph expected across the region. This southwesterly flow will also bring a drier and much warmer airmass along with it, with highs on Thursday jumping to around 10 degrees above normal under sunny skies.

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.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 226 AM MDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Warm temperatures and breezy southwesterly winds will continue into Friday, with highs remaining around 10 degrees above early October climatology. Most of the area will remain dry, but some weak POP returns to the terrain of the Uintas and San Juans on Friday afternoon. This will be more isolated in nature before the best push of PWAT arrives Friday evening and early Saturday. Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue Friday night into Saturday as the front arrives early Saturday morning. This will keep afternoon highs suppressed and bring snow levels down to around 10000 feet. Mountain travelers, hunters, climbers, and leaf peepers are advised to stay abreast of local forecasts on Friday/Saturday as the front rolls through the region. Significant snow accumulations are not expected, but cold and wet conditions are likely to take the fun out of outdoor activity. Afternoon highs on Saturday and Sunday will trend around 15 degrees colder than Friday. Showers will linger north of I- 70 Sunday, along with the San Juans and Uncompahgre Plateau. Southwesterly flow returns quickly in the progressive pattern that models are keen to. This will warm things back up on Monday and Tuesday to near normal conditions. Models keep the wave train rolling early next week, bringing some additional precipitation to the mountains Monday and Tuesday, as another digging low over the Great Basin sends additional Pacific moisture across the Four Corners.

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.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1119 PM MDT Tue Sep 30 2025

Scattered showers and some low to midlevel clouds continue to stream over the area this evening. The showers will taper off over the next 2-4 hours, and ceilings will gradually lift. High pressure building in tomorrow will promote clearing skies. Winds will be light and terrain driven tonight, becoming southwesterly during the day, with gusts up to 20 knots possible. VFR conditions will prevail.

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.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None. UT...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BGB LONG TERM...LTB/TGJT AVIATION...TGJT

NWS GJT Office Area Forecast Discussion

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