Coltons Point, Maryland Weather Forecast Discussion

335
FXUS61 KLWX 011801
AFDLWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
201 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Broad high pressure over eastern Canada will wedge south into the
region through Friday bringing lower humidity and cooler
temperatures. The wedging high will gradually push off the New
England coast leading to moderating temperatures this weekend.
The next chance for rain arrives with a cold front early next
week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
High pressure over Quebec will gradually build southward over
the next few days, eventually settling over New Jersey by Friday
morning. This will support fair weather conditions and north to
northeast winds around 10 mph or less. Low temperatures tonight
will fall into the 40s west of I-95 with even some mid 30s and
frost in the most sheltered high elevation valleys.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The surface wind flow will turn more onshore Thursday into
Friday leading to a scattered stratocumulus deck. Lows Friday
morning will be similar to Thursday despite more clouds around.
The surface high will drop further down the Mid-Atlantic coast
with light winds and daytime stratocumulus clouds Friday. It
will continue to be cooler than normal, especially at night due
to good radiational cooling conditions under high pressure.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Persistent upper-level ridging will remain over the East Coast
Saturday through early next week as troughing approaches from
the west. At the surface, high pressure stationed over the
Northeast will yield reduced cloud cover and dry conditions
Saturday through Monday. High temperatures will warm gradually
with highs in the 70s to low 80s for most; those at higher
elevations will stay in 60s each day. Overnight low temperatures
will be in 40s and 50s Saturday night before warming to the 50s
and 60s Sunday night.
As upper-level troughing approaches the area, a cold front
will approach from the Great Lakes early next week. This will
bring the next chance for precipitation Tuesday into Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
N/NE winds AOB 10 kt are expected through through tonight with
any residual gusts diminishing by 22Z. Flow will become more
E Thursday, then SE Friday. A few stratocumulus clouds may
develop Thursday morning and persist on and off through Friday
with bases between FL025-FL060 (lowest 09z-16z).
Winds remain out of the south Saturday and Sunday, blowing 5 to 10
knots each afternoon. Winds are expected to become light and
variable overnight. VFR conditions persist both days with no
precipitation in the forecast.
&&
.MARINE...
Winds will gradually diminish and turn from N/NE to E then SE
through Friday. SCAs may be cancelled early if the gradient
relaxes a bit quicker than anticipated. Otherwise, light winds
and dry weather are forecast through the end of the week.
Southerly winds of 5 to 10 knots are expected across the waters
Saturday and Sunday. No marine hazards are expected as high
pressure builds over the waters.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The threat for widespread minor coastal flooding, and expected
moderate coastal flooding at Annapolis, look to occur during
multiple high tide cycles starting late tonight and continuing
through Friday. Have issued a Coastal Flood Warning to account
for this threat during the high tide cycle tonight for Anne
Arundel County. Further extensions/advisories will likely be
needed for the upcoming high tide cycles Thursday and Friday
with snapback likely to occur. This is due to strong
northeasterly winds piling up water in the lower Chesapeake Bay
through tonight, quickly turning back to the east and southeast
Thursday into Friday.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...Coastal Flood Warning from 8 PM this evening to 5 AM EDT
     Thursday for MDZ014.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 5 AM to 5 PM EDT Thursday for
     MDZ014.
     Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for MDZ509-510.
VA...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for VAZ503-504.
WV...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for WVZ501-503-
     505-506.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ530-
     535-536-538-539.
     Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ531-532-
     540-542.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ533-534-
     537-541-543.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...DHOF/EST
NEAR TERM...LFR/DHOF
SHORT TERM...LFR/DHOF
LONG TERM...AVS
AVIATION...AVS/LFR/DHOF
MARINE...AVS/LFR/DHOF
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...LWX

NWS lwx Office Area Forecast Discussion