Damascus, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

151
FXUS64 KMOB 262319
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
619 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 144 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Now through Friday...
An upper level trough over the eastern Conus swings east before
settling over the East Coast anchored by a developing tropical
system beginning to move north along the Florida Atlantic coast. The
forecast area sees increasing northerly flow into the coming week as
a weak cold front near the coast moves south over the Gulf. The
forecast area remains under dry northwest to northerly low level
flow into Tuesday, until a shortwave begins to swing south around
the now over the Carolinas tropical system. This combination system
will bring Atlantic moisture inland, then south over the Southeast.
Upper subsidence around the upper system will limit any showers and
thunderstorms along and south of the Gulf Coast, with better
instability to overcome any upper subsidence here. Have bumped
dewpoints down over the weekend, with a dry layer above 850mb
available to mix down. The northerly flow will shift residual
moisture south of I-65 south this afternoon, taking the current
showers and thunderstorms with.
The airmass behind the weak front is not appreciably cooler, with
high temperatures a few degrees above seasonable norms rising to
higher. Mid 80s expected this afternoon rise into the upper 80s to
around 90 for Sunday through Tuesday. Guidance is advertising cooler
air moving south over the Southeast Wednesday on drops temperatures
closer to or below seasonable norms, with Friday`s high temperatures
ranging from around 80 over the northeastern third of the forecast
area to mid 80s over interior southeast Mississippi and our coastal
counties. Guidance is advertising low temperatures remaining a bit
above seasonal norms through the forecast, even with dropping
moisture levels allowing for better overnight cooling present.
Strong upper subsidence will override this better cooling. Low
temperatures ranging from the the low 60s north of Highway 84 to
upper 60s to around 70 along the coast are expected tonight and
Saturday are expected. From there, a rise of a degree or two is
expected through the middle of the coming week.
The modest northwest flow and decreasing tidal cycle will keep the
rip current risk low through the weekend into the coming week.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
A few showers/storms will be possible over south central Alabama
and the western Florida panhandle early this evening, but
otherwise dry and VFR conditions are expected through Saturday. A
light northerly wind or calm conditions develop this evening, then
a northerly/northwesterly flow at 5-10 knots is expected for
Saturday. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 144 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
A more organized offshore flow through tonight as the weak
front moves well offshore. Light to occasionally moderate flow
expected into the middle of the coming week.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      65  88  64  90  67  90  67  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Pensacola   69  88  68  89  70  89  71  90 /  10   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Destin      71  86  70  88  72  87  71  87 /  20  10   0   0   0  10   0  10
Evergreen   63  89  62  91  64  90  64  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  62  86  61  89  64  88  65  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Camden      63  86  63  89  65  88  65  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Crestview   64  88  62  89  64  89  65  89 /  10   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion