Devotion, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

027
FXUS61 KRNK 151747
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
147 PM EDT Mon Sep 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will keep our weather dry through this evening. A
coastal low may bring an opportunity for light rain beginning
tonight, lingering through Wednesday night. Dry conditions
return for the latter half of the week, with another increase in
rain chances over the weekend and into early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 130 PM EDT Monday...
Key Message:
1) Mostly dry through this evening, but increasing clouds and
rainfall chances through Tuesday.
Dry weather continues through this afternoon and evening with
light northerly flow due to high pressure wedging and low
pressure moving north along the North Carolina coast.
Increasing cloud cover through tonight. Some showers may begin
to push into the Piedmont from the east after sunset this
evening with only light rainfall amounts. Overnight, additional
showers push farther west. Overnight lows will be in the mid to
upper 50s.
Low pressure will move further west on Tuesday, and showers
could potentially reach as far west as the I-81 corridor,
however the best chance for any beneficial rainfall will remain
east of the Blue Ridge over central Virginia and north central
North Carolina. Winds may be a bit gusty at times with a few
locations in the east gusting in the 20 to 25mph range.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 100 PM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
1. Rain through Wednesday. Dry conditions return Thursday.
2. Cooler temperatures through the middle of the week, but warmer
Thursday.
A low pressure system will be drifting through eastern NC and VA
Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing periods of light to moderate rain.
The heavier rainfall totals will be east of the Blue Ridge, closer
to the low, where lift is greatest. At this time, amounts range from
half an inch to three quarters of an inch from the foothills into
the VA Southside and Piedmont of VA and NC. However, there is a 10
percent probability of rainfall exceeding an inch and a half east of
a Martinsville VA to Lynchburg VA line, the high end amount of rain.
Most likely amounts will be less than an inch for most.
The low wobbles slightly westward, and then back to the east and
pulls offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula Thursday. As the low pulls
away, a surface high will build back into the region, and bring a
return to dry weather.
Expect temperatures to be cooler than normal, in the 60s for most of
the area Wednesday afternoon, with mostly cloudy to overcast skies
and increasing northerly to northeasterly flow. Thursday will be
warmer, with highs around 80 in the Piedmont and the 70s west of the
Blue Ridge.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 130 PM EDT Monday...
Key Messages:
1. Increasing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms over
the weekend, following dry weather on Friday.
2. Near to just above normal temperatures Friday and Saturday,
slightly cooler on Sunday and Monday.
High pressure will build southward from southern Canada for the end
of the work week, wedging against the eastern side of the
Appalachians, and keeping Friday dry. Increasing 500mb heights
from ridging developing aloft, along with clearer skies, will
lead to warmer temperatures, around 5 to 10 degrees above normal
by Friday afternoon. An upper low will move across the north
central US, and push a cold front towards the Midwest and Ohio
Valley, eventually reaching the local area by the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 140 PM EDT Monday...
Widespread VFR this afternoon, which looks to continue into the
early overnight hours. Rain showers and lower clouds may move
into LYH/DAN by early Tuesday morning and sub-VFR will be
possible as early as midnight and then linger through the
latter portions of the current 24hr TAF period. BCB/BLF/LWB/ROA
should remain VFR, with the only exception being some brief
patchy fog at LWB around daybreak.
Winds will generally remain out of the N-NE, but will increase
along and east of the Blue Ridge tomorrow. Could have gusts
exceeding 20kts at times from ROA and east on Tuesday.
EXTENDED AVIATION FORECAST...
Rain and clouds will linger through Wednesday, associated with
low pressure slowly moving northward along the coast. This could
bring periods of sub-VFR, mainly east of the mountains.
Drier and sunnier weather returns again for Thursday and Friday,
but the chance for showers or perhaps an isolated thunderstorm
returns for the weekend and into early next week.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG
SHORT TERM...AS
LONG TERM...AS
AVIATION...BMG

NWS RNK Office Area Forecast Discussion