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Dogwood City Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

516
FXUS64 KSHV 100606
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 106 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

- Very pleasant conditions will prevail over the next few days with much drier air in place.

- Daytime temperatures will gradually warm back into the mid and upper 80s this weekend as the upper-level ridge expands east.

- The warming trend will continue into next week with lower 90s returning to many locations as the upper ridge builds overhead.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

The next few days will provide a brief respite from the prolonged stretch of above average temperatures and humidity with very dry NW flow aloft. This flow pattern is due to the westward migration of the upper-level ridge, allowing for a continuation of slightly milder temperatures and light NE winds. This will yield daytime temperatures mainly in the 80s for highs with pleasant overnight lows in the 50s to lower 60s through this weekend. By Sunday, we may begin to see high temperatures creep back toward 90 degrees in some locations as winds veer around to the south with the upper ridge expanding back eastward across the region.

This trend toward increasingly above average temperatures will only become more amplified into early next week given the strength and placement of the ridge axis. With the center of the ridge axis oriented from SW to NE across our region, expect strong subsidence with high temperatures warming back into the upper 80s and lower 90s for much of next week. This regime will begin to take on more of an omega block pattern as the week progresses and stifle any rain chances through the end of next week. As a result, expanding drought and fire danger concerns will only continue to grow until we see some appreciable rainfall.

/19/

&&

.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

For the 10/06Z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions to continue areawide, with little cloud cover. Northeast winds will become light/variable to calm by the end of the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 85 60 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 84 57 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 83 57 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 85 58 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 80 54 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 85 60 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 85 57 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 88 58 87 59 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...19 AVIATION...05

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion

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