Dresden, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

496
FXUS63 KGLD 242315
AFDGLD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
515 PM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions and a warming trend through the rest of the
  week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 257 PM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
A few showers developed this afternoon over northwest Kansas
and southwest Nebraska. A subtle shortwave trough was noted on
GOES- East water vapor imagery from northeast CO to north-
central KS and adjacent areas of NE. Expect the showers to drift
generally south-southwest and dissipate around sunset.
Temperatures climbed into the upper 60s to upper 70s across the
area. Surface high pressure will drift over eastern Colorado and
western Kansas tonight. Winds will weaken and areas of fog may
develop. Temperatures will cool into the low and middle 40s over
east- central Colorado to the upper 40s and low 50s over the
remainder of the area. Patchy frost remains possible over
portions of Kit Carson and Cheyenne counties. Mostly sunny to
partly cloudy skies are forecast Thursday with high
temperatures trending a few degrees warmer, from the upper 70s
to low 80s. Continued quiet Thursday night with lows in the
middle 40s to low 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 257 PM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Split flow aloft will keep the Tri-state area in a relatively
quiet weather pattern for the remainder of the week. A cutoff
low is forecast to develop near the California/Arizona border
Friday and Friday night. The surface pressure gradient is
forecast to tighten with a persistent low-level jet developing
Sunday into next week. Southerly wind gusts of 30 mph are
forecast. There will be a slight increase in precipitation
chances early next week in response to isentropic ascent and
enhanced northward theta-e advection associated with the low-
level jet.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 509 PM MDT Wed Sep 24 2025
VFR conditions are currently forecast to prevail through the
duration of this TAF period. A surface high pushing in is
leading to light winds generally from the NNW but occasionally
becoming more variable. Winds are then forecast to back and
become more from the WSW overnight and throughout the day
Thursday. Can`t rule out some rogue 15-20 knot gusts as the
nocturnal inversion breaks between 13-15Z Thursday for each site
as a weak jet will be in place. At this time am thinking that
the strength of jet will be too weak for LLWS concerns but
should be something that needs to be watched. Should LLWS occur
it would be between 06Z and 12Z-13Z.
&&
.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Huyck
LONG TERM...Huyck
AVIATION...Trigg

NWS GLD Office Area Forecast Discussion