Eglin Air Force Base, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

887
FXUS64 KMOB 202320
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
620 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 114 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
An upper trof amplifies over the central states through Sunday
then evolves into a strongly positive tilted system through
Tuesday which extends from the central states to the far northeast
states. A surface ridge meanwhile will be present over the
southeast states and promotes a mostly southeasterly surface flow
over the forecast area which becomes southerly by Tuesday. A
series of modest shortwaves and a sea breeze circulation combine
to support slight chance to chance pops for most of the area on
Sunday, then the coverage of any convection that develops on
Monday and Tuesday looks too limited to support mention of pops. The
upper trof returns to a meridional orientation while advancing
into the eastern states through Friday. An associated surface low
looks to develop over the Plains and lift well off to the north,
and in the process brings a weak cold front through the forecast
area between late Thursday night into Friday. Will have slight
chance to chance pops return to the forecast on Wednesday, then
chance to good chance pops follow for Thursday. Have continued
with slight chance to chance pops for Friday as the front moves
through the remainder of the area. A low risk of rip currents is
expected through Wednesday. Lows through Thursday night tend to range
from the mid to upper 60s inland to the lower 70s near the coast,
then lows Friday night will be a bit cooler and range from the
lower 60s inland to the mid/upper 60s at the coast. Highs on
Sunday through Wednesday range from around 90 into the lower 90s,
then Thursday and Friday will be in the mid to upper 80s. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
VFR flight category generally prevails across the region through
Sunday evening outside of temporary flight category reductions
underneath any showers or storms. Winds will be light and
variable less than 5 knots tonight, becoming a prevailing
southeasterly wind after daybreak Sunday at around 5 to 10 knots.
MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 114 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
A diurnal pattern continues through the remainder of the weekend
with the development of a generally onshore flow each afternoon then
becoming offshore each night. An easterly to southeasterly flow
develops on Monday and turns mostly southwesterly for Wednesday and
Thursday. No impacts are anticipated other than higher winds and
seas near storms. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      70  91  69  89  68  90  69  90 /   0  20   0  10   0  10  10  30
Pensacola   74  88  72  89  71  89  73  89 /   0  20   0  10   0  10   0  20
Destin      75  87  73  87  73  88  75  87 /   0  20   0  10   0   0   0  20
Evergreen   67  94  65  93  65  94  67  94 /   0  30  10  10   0   0   0  20
Waynesboro  68  92  66  91  65  92  69  91 /  10  30  10  10   0  10  10  40
Camden      69  93  66  91  66  92  68  91 /   0  30  10  10   0   0  10  30
Crestview   67  92  66  91  65  92  68  92 /   0  30   0  10   0   0   0  20
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion