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Fallbrook Street Elementary School California Weather Forecast Discussion

420
FXUS66 KSGX 151553
AFDSGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 853 AM PDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.SYNOPSIS... Residual showers are expected to end this morning. It will then be dry with a warming trend through Saturday continuing into Sunday for the deserts. Early next week will be a few degrees cooler as high pressure weakens.

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.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES...

.Morning Update...

The storm system from yesterday has moved over the state of Nevada. Leftover moisture in the lower levels continues to prompt light showers across western parts of San Diego County that will continue to weaken this morning. A drying trend is seen on satellite as clearer conditions across the LA Basin are expected to push southward into the afternoon hours. High temperatures will still remain well below average today with highs 5-10 degrees below normal near the coast and up to 20 degrees below average inland. Highs west of the mountains into the high desert will be mainly in the 60s with comfortable readings in the 70s from Indio to Borrego Springs. Dry weather will continue into the upcoming weekend as temperatures climb to near normal.

.Previous Discussion (243 AM Wednesday)...

.SHORT TERM (Today through Friday)... A low pressure system will continue to move inland through the Great Basin today. For Friday and Saturday, there will be high pressure aloft over southern California with a large cutoff low pressure system centered well off the coast of northern Baja. Residual showers over the southern California coastal waters moving into southwestern California are expected to end during this morning.

High temperatures are expected to warm through Saturday with the warming continuing into Sunday for the deserts. The greatest warming is expected on Thursday. With the warming, high temperatures on Friday will be a few degrees below average to as much as 4 to 8 degrees below average for the mountains and high desert. High temperatures on Friday will range from the lower to mid 70s near the coast to the upper 70s to mid 80s for the Inland Empire with the mid to upper 80s for the lower deserts.

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.LONG TERM (Saturday through Tuesday)... The warming trend will continue into Saturday and into Sunday for the deserts with high temperatures on Saturday a few degrees above average for the coast and valleys and a few degrees below average for the deserts into the mountains.

For early next week, there is much larger spread in the evolution of the pattern along the coasts of California and Baja. There should be at least a few degrees of cooling for Monday and Tuesday.

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.AVIATION... 151530Z....Coast/Valleys...A few light showers continue to move into coastal San Diego County but will end by 17z. Cloud bases 3500-6000 feet MSL will clear by the afternoon. FEW-SCT low clouds near 3000ft MSL around KSAN tonight into Thursday morning. VFR expected to prevail.

.Mountains/Deserts...VFR through Thursday morning. Localized FG/BR up against the higher terrain may continue through 17z.

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.MARINE... No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Sunday.

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.SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

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.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...None. PZ...None.

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UPDATE...APR PREVIOUS PUBLIC...17 AVIATION/MARINE...Zuber

NWS SGX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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