Fayetteville Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

281
FXUS61 KILN 102338
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
738 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. This will
lead to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Surface high pressure centered off the New England coast will provide
a light southerly flow this afternoon into tonight. Meanwhile, a
compact closed mid- level low will traverse the upper Great Lakes.
The atmosphere will remain dry through the column with little
moisture advection at any level. Temperatures will be near seasonal
norms.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As the closed low exits off to the northeast, a very weak surface
front will move through the middle and upper Ohio Valley. This will
shift winds to a northerly direction. However, with heights on the
rise, it`s tough to call it a cold front. Temperatures will actually
begin a slow warming trend from the chilly values to close the work
week.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mid-level ridging centered over the southern plains will continue to
nose into the Ohio Valley as we head into next work week. In the
resulting northwest flow, a couple of weak disturbances will move
across the Great Lakes. Since our air mass still remains
disconnected from any source of deeper moisture, dry weather is
likely to persist. Suppose we could see increasing mid- and high-
level clouds Wednesday associated with a weak cold front. High
temperatures will reach the low to mid 70s Sunday through Tuesday,
then drop into the upper 60s to low 70s Wednesday through Friday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions are forecast through the taf period. Only exception is
at KLUK as river valley fog may develop yet again. However, with some
mid and lower level clouds advecting in from the northwest late
tonight, confidence is slightly lower.
Weak cold front moves through the region early Saturday morning.
Minimal aviation impacts expected given that the lower clouds
building in remain VFR, and winds remain light (around 5 kts)
through the taf period. Winds will veer towards the northwest
Saturday morning, becoming more northerly by the afternoon.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

NWS ILN Office Area Forecast Discussion