Fort Meade, Florida Weather Forecast Discussion

981
FXUS62 KTBW 301819
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
219 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 209 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
- Limited rain chances the next couple of days as Imelda pulls
   away.
- Increased winds will lead to hazardous marine conditions
   Thursday into the weekend.
- Rain chances return Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 209 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
A thick layer of clouds continues to stream over the area thanks to
Hurricane Imelda as it moves away from the Florida. Otherwise, dry
air, also filtering over the area thanks to Imelda, will keep rain
chances low today and tomorrow. A slight uptick in moisture over
south Florida tomorrow afternoon will allow for a few isolated
showers to develop in that region. By the end of the week moisture
returns with a frontal boundary as it lifts north over Florida
before settling over North FL through the weekend. Winds will also
increase Thursday as the pressure gradient tightens up and stay
elevated through the start of the weekend. Scattered showers stay
in the forecast through the beginning of next week. Temperature
through the period stay right around normal with upper 80s/low 90s
as highs.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 209 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Imelda is ushering a layer of low, thick clouds causing below VFR
conditions through a large portion of Florida. This will likely
be the case through the afternoon before conditions begin to
clear this evening. VFR conditions return overnight. Some low
clouds may once again be possible tomorrow morning. Gusty North to
northeast winds will begin to diminish this evening.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 209 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
As the pressure gradient tightens later this week, winds will begin
to increase, making marine conditions more hazardous, advisories
will be likely. Rain chances also increase by Thursday and
continue into early next week as a frontal boundary stalls over
northern FL.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 209 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Though drier air has moved into the area, RH values remain above
critical keeping fire hazards minimal.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  74  90  75  88 /  10  20  20  50
FMY  74  90  74  88 /  10  40  30  70
GIF  72  90  73  87 /  10  20  20  40
SRQ  73  89  72  88 /  10  30  30  60
BKV  68  89  69  87 /  10  20  10  40
SPG  75  87  75  87 /  10  30  30  50
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
Discussion...Pearce

NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion