Fountain Hill Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

974
FXUS64 KJAN 120532
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1232 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail
   through this weekend. No hazardous weather impacts are
   anticipated over the next week.
- Limited fire danger conditions are expected to continue in
   portions of East Mississippi and Southeast Mississippi through
   today.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1218 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Today:
Stagnant but seasonable conditions will continue today. The Gulf
Coast region will remain locked in between synoptic ridging to the
west over south TX and cutoff low over the east. This will keep
northeasterly low level flow and dry advection of low humidity
aloft/precipitable water below 0.75 inches. Dewpoints should mix
out in the mid 40s to mid 50s range. Combined with seasonably
warm highs, afternoon minimum relative humidity could fall into
the 30 to 40 percent range. As the gradient relaxes, lows could
fall near seasonable levels. Low relative humidity and drying
fuels support continued advertisement of Limited fire danger in
local hazardous weather graphics, mainly east of Interstate 55
through Sunday. However, this is a low end risk. This may persist
into early next week but light winds may limit potential.
Monday through Saturday:
Ridge to the west will propagates eastward across the ArkLaTex into
the Gulf Coast region through midweek. As it moves near or over the
northern Gulf, mean ridging will fall from around 593 to 595dam
to around 586dam into mid to late week. Low level trajectories
will become more southerly into late week, helping mean moisture
profiles to increase. Dry period is expected through the work
week, with continued curing of dry fuels and afternoon warmth and
low humidity (85F to 90F highs and 28 to 40 percent minimum RHs).
An increase in southerly return flow will help highs and lows
moderate seasonably warm (highs some 8F to 12F above by mid to
late week and lows some 10F to 15F by late week). There are some
indications of frontal convergence into next weekend and combined
with an increase in mean moisture, some scattered rain
probabilities next weekend (up to 30 percent).
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
VFR conditions prevail through the period with clear skies and
light northerly winds./SAS/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       83  56  86  56 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      83  54  85  54 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     84  57  87  57 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   86  54  88  55 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       85  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    84  57  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     85  56  87  55 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
EC/EC/SAS20

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion