Gates Lake Number 1, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

947
FXUS64 KCRP 192254
AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
554 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 552 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
- Low to medium (20-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
  through next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Low to medium (20-60%) rain and thunderstorm chances remain in
the forecast daily through at least mid next week. Most of the
activity will be triggered by the sea breeze tomorrow, but
moisture will increase late weekend into early next week, allowing
for PoPs to slightly increase. In regards to the previously
mentioned shortwave trough and associated boundary around mid-next
week, models continue to diverge in regards to its southern
extent and timing. Therefore, have continued to cap PoPs at 60%
inland until better agreement is reached. Keep in mind uncertainty
with this system remains high, and updates to the forecast are
foreseen for following forecast packages.
Maximum temperatures will rise by a couple degrees over the
weekend into early next week, bringing highs out west to around
100 degrees by Monday. Rain chances and increased cloud coverage
could result in slightly cooler temperatures around mid next week,
but have not deviated from the NBM just yet, until we get a
better picture over the coming days. Overnight lows will generally
remain in the 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Brief patchy fog
is possible for ALI and VCT in the morning with sufficient low
level moisture, light winds, and generally clear skies. Have
included a TEMPO for MVFR visibility during this time; however,
IFR visibility will be possible.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly breeze will
continue through next week. There will be a low to medium chance
(30-60%) of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend and into
next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    74  91  75  91 /  10  20  10  40
Victoria          70  94  71  93 /   0  20   0  50
Laredo            74  97  76  99 /   0  10   0   0
Alice             71  95  72  95 /   0  20  10  30
Rockport          76  91  78  90 /  10  20  20  50
Cotulla           72  96  74  98 /   0   0   0  10
Kingsville        71  93  73  93 /   0  30  10  40
Navy Corpus       79  88  80  88 /  10  30  30  50
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...LS/77

NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion