Genesee, Pennsylvania Weather Forecast Discussion

135
FXUS61 KCTP 081716
AFDCTP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
116 PM EDT Mon Sep 8 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
* High pressure stretched from the Midwest to the Mid Atlantic
  Region will maintain dry conditions through most or all of
  this week with daytimes featuring partly to mostly sunny skies
  and low humidity. Any early morning valley fog will dissipate
  by 10 AM.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
The eastern extension of a large area of high pressure was
leading to nearly cloud free skies, light wind and chilly early
morning temps, ranging from the mid and upper 30s across the
Northern Mountains (where areas of frost will be occurring over
the next several hours), to the 40s elsewhere.
The coldest temp of 33F (as of 0850Z) was noted at Port Matilda,
just southwest of KUNV. Will continue to undercut the NBM this
morning and again Tuesday morning, with one supporting factor
being the dry ground.
Temperatures will rise quickly after sunrise, ending the risk
of frost by 8 AM.
Today`s afternoon highs (ranging from the upper 60s over the
higher terrain of the north and west to the mid 70s in the bulk
of the Central Valleys and Susq region) will be a few to several
deg below normal.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Another chilly night is expected for tonight, though frost
potential does not look as widespread as the night before.
The greatest for frost will be throughout the valleys pf
northern PA, where temperatures will likely fall into the mid
30s. If confidence increases in frost potential, another Frost
Advisory would be needed.
Dry weather with abundant sunshine and light wind will
continue on Tuesday, though temperatures trend a few degrees
higher, with most of Central Pennsylvania seeing highs in the
low to mid 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Abundant sunshine and dry conditions are favored into the end of
the week, with temperatures trending warmer for Wednesday
thanks to a building ridge aloft. A weak, moisture-starved cold
front will track through the region Wednesday night into
Thursday, but no sensible weather impacts are expected.
Temperatures may drop slightly for Thursday and Friday behind
this front, but a warming trend is expected into the weekend.
Some guidance shows another shortwave moving through Saturday
night into Sunday, potentially bringing a few showers along with
it, but uncertainty remains high.
&&
.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High pressure will provide VFR conditions through the 18Z TAF
period. Skies will clear out overnight and winds will go calm,
allowing for patchy valley fog formation, especially over
northern PA. Impacts at any TAF sites appear unlikely, though
BFD would have the best chance (

NWS CTP Office Area Forecast Discussion