Goodspring, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

981
FXUS64 KOHX 061557
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1057 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1025 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
- Rain chances have returned to the forecast today and especially
  tomorrow and into early Wednesday. QPF values are highest in
  areas to the north and west of Nashville, but the flooding
  threat is low.
- Expect cooler weather this week, especially late in the week,
  when seasonally normal temperatures are expected. Afterwards,
  look for temperatures to gradually warm back up.
- Both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks favor above-normal
  temperatures and below-normal rainfall across Middle Tennessee.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1057 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
The surface ridge that has dominated our weather pattern the past
several days is breaking down as a moisture-laden shortwave is
finally spreading precipitation into Middle Tennessee. As a
result, temperatures today and over the next several days will be
somewhat cooler than the unseasonal warmth that has been the norm
this first week of October. Tomorrow, the activity will become a
bit more focused, so QPF values later tonight and tomorrow have
continued to increase with each successive model cycle. Tomorrow,
Middle Tennessee is under a marginal to slight risk of excessive
rainfall as per the WPC. And, although the risk of severe storms
with this active weather system remains very low, we can expect a
few storms to develop across the region tomorrow.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1057 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
The aforementioned shortwave will be slow to move through Middle
Tennessee, so we can expect the showers and even a few leftover
storms to linger through Tuesday night and early Wednesday before
finally clearing out. Storm total QPF values from this morning at
12Z through Wednesday at 18Z (54 hours) range from less than an
inch across the southern Cumberland Plateau and areas near the
Alabama line to 2+ inches in areas to the north and west of
Nashville. Fortunately, the highest QPF values line up nicely with
the worst of the current drought conditions, so it looks as
though the rainfall amounts will even things out a bit. At this
time, we aren`t thinking about any sort of Flood Watch. It doesn`t
appear that we will experience the kind of rainfall rates we
would need to produce flooding. In other words, we`re looking at a
much-needed soaking rain in the areas that need it most, and
nothing more than that. After Wednesday morning, our rain chances
will drop back to near-zero at least through the middle of next
week. As far as temperatures, it looks as though Thursday will be
our coolest day, then expect readings to warm up gradually
thereafter. Indeed, both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks favor
above-normal temperatures across the mid state.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
VFR clouds have increased to BKN/OVC across Middle TN this
morning along with lgt rain showers now developing. BNA, MQY, and
CKV will have periods of SHRA through this morning along with MVFR
cig potential. Any heavier intensity could also cause brief
visibility issues. A break in rain activity is expected at BNA
and MQY this afternoon, but additional SHRA is forecast after 06z,
possibly SRB and CSV as well. CKV may not have much of a break
through the period. Winds favor SE at 5-10 kts today, with a few
afternoon gusts.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      83  69  80  63 /  60  70  90  80
Clarksville    79  68  78  60 /  80  90  90  30
Crossville     76  63  75  61 /  10  40  70  90
Columbia       80  68  79  64 /  70  60  90  80
Cookeville     81  66  77  62 /  30  50  80  80
Jamestown      79  64  75  60 /  20  50  80  90
Lawrenceburg   80  67  79  63 /  50  50  80  80
Murfreesboro   82  68  80  64 /  40  60  80  90
Waverly        77  66  77  59 /  80  90  90  40
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Sizemore

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion