865 FXUS62 KFFC 060558 AFDFFCArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 158 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025
...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...
.SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 212 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Key Messages:
- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible over far north Georgia this evening with gusty winds possible.
- Scattered thunderstorms expected to increase in coverage tomorrow as front pushes southward into the area. A few strong to marginally severe wind gusts are possible with the strongest storms.
Discussion:
For the remainder of this afternoon and evening, isolated storms should continue with gusty winds being the main threat. Pushing into tonight the long awaited front will begin pushing closer to north Georgia with the potential for a line of showers and isolated embedded thunderstorms to push into north Georgia before fizzling out. CAMs have decreased the intensity of this line as of 12z as the parameters may not be as strong as expected. With it being overnight though need to keep an eye on it. There is also a potential for a secondary wave to push into north Georgia early in the morning near sunrise but with more showers expected. Then comes Saturday afternoon and evening when the front finally pushes southward along with peak day time heating. This should result in enough support for at least a couple of isolated marginally severe storms with damaging wind gusts being the main threat. This third wave should push through in the form of a cluster/line which could also enhance wind potential should there be enough energy to keep the storms together.
Hernandez
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.LONG TERM... (Sunday morning through next Thursday) Issued at 212 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
Key Messages:
- Mostly dry conditions through next week, except for isolated showers and thunderstorms in far east central Georgia.
- Behind early week cold front, cooler temperatures will return!
A return to (slightly) cooler weather is expected in the extended period. A cold front passes through late weekend, and with persistent mid to upper-level troughing over the eastern CONUS, northwest flow will reinforce the drier and cooler conditions through midweek. Expect high temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s Monday through Wednesday, with mountain highs possibly 5-10 degrees cooler. The cooler air will not be enough to put widespread 50s across the area in the mornings, but expect lows Monday through Friday to be in the 60s, with 50s over the mountains.
Though the cold front clears the area Monday, some moisture lingers over far east central Georgia in the area of the remaining boundary. This moisture is sufficient to keep mention of isolated shower and thunderstorm activity Sunday through Thursday. At this time, there is no concern for severe weather given the latest instability and shear guidance.
31
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 152 AM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025
VFR cigs for the rest of the night are anticipated. A front will approach around 17Z brining a low VFR/high MVFR ceiling and a chance for -TSRA which has been indicated with a PROB30. Light winds will be variable before picking up on the SW side after 14Z.
//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium on -TSRA chances. High on all other elements.
Vaughn
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 69 89 66 85 / 10 40 20 10 Atlanta 72 89 67 84 / 10 40 10 0 Blairsville 64 81 60 77 / 30 70 20 10 Cartersville 70 88 63 82 / 20 60 10 0 Columbus 72 94 70 89 / 10 20 10 0 Gainesville 69 88 66 84 / 20 50 10 10 Macon 70 92 69 89 / 10 20 10 10 Rome 69 86 63 82 / 30 60 10 0 Peachtree City 70 90 65 85 / 10 40 10 0 Vidalia 68 94 70 92 / 10 10 10 20
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.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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SHORT TERM...Hernandez LONG TERM....31 AVIATION...Vaughn
NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion