390 FXUS61 KCAR 080421 AFDCARArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1221 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.SYNOPSIS... A cold front will push off the coast today. High pressure will build in from the Great Lakes tonight into Thursday and slide south of our area Friday into Saturday. High pressure will rebuild to our north on Sunday as low pressure intensifies along the Mid Atlantic coast.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... A strong cold front will be about half way across our area early this morning continuing to press south and supporting a solid band of rain. Strong convergence along the front and much cooler air undercutting moist air out ahead of it will produce rain, heavy at times, as the front continues south. The cold front will push off the coast late this morning. Rain will taper off from north to south ending Downeast behind the front late this afternoon. Western and Northern parts of our area will have partial clearing well behind the front late this afternoon.
High pressure building in from the Great Lakes will push much cooler air south across the area tonight into Thursday. Lows tonight will fall below freezing in some northwestern areas and down to around 40 along the coast under a mostly clear sky and a gusty northwesterly wind.
High pressure continuing to build toward the area Thursday will bring a blustery and cold day with a gusty northwesterly wind. Highs will range from the upper 40s north to the mid 50s along the coast. Sunshine will mix with cumulus clouds across the north and far northern areas may be mostly cloudy for a while under a stratocumulus layer. Southern areas will turn out mostly sunny.
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.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... High pressure will build to the southwest of the area Thursday night with mainly clear skies and light winds. Since the high will not be centered directly over us, some concern that we will not maximize full radiational cooling potential. Also, some higher cloud will be on the increase later Thursday night. Still, felt confident enough to lower the NBM mins just a bit for overnight lows Thursday night. Lows will range from the mid to upper 20s north and upper 20s to lower 30s for Bangor and Downeast. Widespread frost is expected regionwide, even down to the coast.
High pressure builds to our south on Friday. The return southwest flow around the high and warmer temperature advection will allow high temperatures to reach the mid to upper 50s in most areas, with a few 60 degree readings not totally out of the question.
Friday night will see high pressure continue to slip south of the region. Expect mainly clear to partly cloudy skies and a milder night, with lows ranging from the lower to mid 30s north and mids 30s to near 40 near the coast.
Saturday will be mostly sunny as a weak front cold front slides down from the north. Afternoon highs on Saturday ahead of the front climb into the low 60s north and low to mid 60s for the Bangor region and Downeast.
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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Looks like a mainly dry pattern will persist Saturday night and Sunday as a ridge of high pressure builds in from the north. low pressure will be near the mid atlantic region into early next week. Looks like the strong high across the region will remain in place and keep any rainfall with that system to our south, at least through Monday and possible longer. Afternoon highs look to be near, or slightly above the seasonal norms for this time of year.
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.AVIATION /04Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... NEAR TERM: Today...IFR across the north early this morning improving to MVFR late this morning then VFR this afternoon. IFR Downeast this morning improving to MVFR this afternoon. Winds NW 10 kt gusting to 20 kt.
Tonight...VFR. Winds NW 10 kt gusting to 20 kt.
Thursday...VFR. Winds NW 15 kt gusting to 25 kt.
SHORT TERM:
Thu night through Sun...VFR. Mainly light wind.
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.MARINE... NEAR TERM: A SCA will be up early this morning for SW winds gusting up to 30 kt for both the intracoastal and offshore waters. Winds will diminish later this morning as the cold front moves over the waters. The SCA will remain up for the offshore waters for seas 6 to 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft early this afternoon.
SHORT TERM: Wind/seas mainly below SCA levels through the period.
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.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ050- 051. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ052.
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Near Term...MB Short Term...TWD Long Term...TWD Aviation...MB/TWD Marine...MB/TWD
NWS CAR Office Area Forecast Discussion